Bayesian Capital Management, LP
In its 13F for Q3 2024 (holdings as of September 30, 2024, filed November 14, 2024), Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported 642 stock positions worth $853.4 million. Its top holding was Netflix (NFLX) at 2.1% of the portfolio, followed by Nike Class B (NKE, 1.9%) and Tesla (TSLA, 1.8%). Compared with Q2 2024, it opened 422 new positions, sold out of 462, added to 110 and reduced 108. The biggest buy was Netflix (NFLX, shares +488%) and the biggest sale an exit from SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US (SPY).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Brooklyn, NY
- CIK
- 0001632551
- Portfolio Value
- $853.4M (Q3 2024)
- SEC Filing
- 0001420506-24-002550 ↗ filed Nov 14, 2024
Holdings Value
Holdings 642 stocks · $853.4M
| NFLX Netflix Inc. | 2.10% | 25,300 | $17.9M | Add +488.4% |
| NKE Nike Inc. Class B | 1.89% | 182,400 | $16.1M | Add +454.4% |
| TSLA Tesla Inc. | 1.81% | 59,200 | $15.5M | Reduce -41.4% |
| CVX Chevron Corp. | 1.75% | 101,596 | $15.0M | Add +104.8% |
| MDB Mongodb Inc. | 1.13% | 35,529 | $9.6M | New |
| JD Jd.com Inc.-ADR | 1.07% | 228,689 | $9.1M | Add +321.2% |
| FTNT Fortinet Inc. | 1.03% | 113,783 | $8.8M | New |
| MDT Medtronic PLC | 0.98% | 93,200 | $8.4M | Add +122.4% |
| PYPL PayPal Holdings Inc. | 0.98% | 106,854 | $8.3M | Add +1.4% |
| TXN Texas Instruments Inc. | 0.96% | 39,800 | $8.2M | New |
| A Agilent Technologies Inc. | 0.85% | 49,100 | $7.3M | New |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp. | 0.81% | 42,597 | $6.9M | New |
| LW Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. | 0.81% | 107,100 | $6.9M | Add +4184.0% |
| DELL Dell Technologies -C | 0.81% | 57,979 | $6.9M | New |
| BBY Best Buy Co. Inc. | 0.80% | 65,950 | $6.8M | Add +95.4% |
| ORCL Oracle Corp. | 0.79% | 39,600 | $6.7M | Reduce -59.0% |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | 0.77% | 37,897 | $6.6M | New |
| SCHW Schwab (charles) Corp. | 0.77% | 101,100 | $6.6M | Reduce -15.8% |
| DIS The Walt Disney Co. filed as DISNEY WALT CO | 0.77% | 68,063 | $6.5M | Add +1321.8% |
| SPOT Spotify Technology SA | 0.72% | 16,667 | $6.1M | Reduce -48.0% |
| HES Hess Corp. | 0.72% | 45,000 | $6.1M | Add +2042.9% |
| COP Conocophillips | 0.71% | 57,800 | $6.1M | Add +151.3% |
| FAST Fastenal Co. | 0.71% | 84,800 | $6.1M | Add +191.4% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. Class A | 0.68% | 72,178 | $5.8M | Reduce -49.6% |
| KEYS Keysight Technologies Inc. | 0.63% | 34,046 | $5.4M | Add +96.0% |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co. | 0.62% | 177,500 | $5.3M | New |
| BCS Barclays PLC-Spons ADR | 0.61% | 429,800 | $5.2M | New |
| MRK Merck & Co. Inc. | 0.58% | 43,855 | $5.0M | Add +1189.8% |
| APTV Aptiv Irish Holdings Ltd. filed as APTIV PLC | 0.55% | 64,851 | $4.7M | Add +15.1% |
| DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp. | 0.54% | 29,154 | $4.6M | Add +53.7% |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc. | 0.54% | 13,500 | $4.6M | New |
| TGT Target Corp. | 0.53% | 29,117 | $4.5M | New |
| SAP Sap SE-Sponsored ADR | 0.53% | 19,793 | $4.5M | Add +73.6% |
| CHTR Charter Communications Inc. Class A | 0.53% | 13,900 | $4.5M | New |
| KSS Kohls Corp. | 0.52% | 211,200 | $4.5M | New |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices | 0.51% | 26,500 | $4.3M | New |
| PEP Pepsico Inc. | 0.51% | 25,500 | $4.3M | New |
| CLX Clorox Company | 0.50% | 26,400 | $4.3M | Add +33.3% |
| JBHT Hunt (jb) Transprt SVCS Inc. | 0.50% | 24,639 | $4.2M | New |
| DE Deere & Co. | 0.50% | 10,132 | $4.2M | New |
| ON On Semiconductor | 0.48% | 57,000 | $4.1M | New |
| PFE Pfizer Inc. | 0.48% | 140,800 | $4.1M | Add +155.5% |
| ENPH Enphase Energy Inc. | 0.46% | 34,886 | $3.9M | Add +23.8% |
| CVS CVS Health Corp. | 0.45% | 61,100 | $3.8M | New |
| PLD Prologis Inc. | 0.45% | 30,227 | $3.8M | New |
| AEP American Electric Power | 0.45% | 37,100 | $3.8M | Reduce -1.9% |
| GNRC Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.43% | 23,238 | $3.7M | Add +78.2% |
| CMS CMS Energy Corp. | 0.43% | 51,700 | $3.7M | Add +42.0% |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings Inc. | 0.42% | 88,200 | $3.6M | New |
| ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corp. Class A | 0.42% | 9,595 | $3.6M | Add +139.9% |
| ADI Analog Devices Inc. | 0.42% | 15,400 | $3.5M | Add +129.8% |
| ADP Automatic Data Processing | 0.41% | 12,619 | $3.5M | New |
| CAG Conagra Brands Inc. | 0.41% | 106,500 | $3.5M | New |
| SYK Stryker Corp. | 0.40% | 9,503 | $3.4M | New |
| GM General Motors Co. | 0.40% | 76,258 | $3.4M | Add +233.6% |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 0.40% | 5,500 | $3.4M | Add +61.8% |
| IFF Intl Flavors & Fragrances filed as INTERNATIONAL FLAVORS&FRAGRA | 0.39% | 31,961 | $3.4M | Add +57.8% |
| PH Parker Hannifin Corp. | 0.39% | 5,300 | $3.3M | New |
| SYF Synchrony Financial | 0.39% | 66,500 | $3.3M | Reduce -10.7% |
| RTX RTX Corp. | 0.38% | 26,700 | $3.2M | Reduce -25.8% |
| XEL Xcel Energy Inc. | 0.38% | 49,200 | $3.2M | Add +77.3% |
| QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 | 0.37% | 6,529 | $3.2M | New |
| IQV Iqvia Holdings Inc. | 0.37% | 13,400 | $3.2M | Add +605.3% |
| MU Micron Technology Inc. | 0.37% | 30,500 | $3.2M | New |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | 0.37% | 26,500 | $3.1M | New |
| NEE Nextera Energy Inc. | 0.36% | 36,600 | $3.1M | New |
| BIDU Baidu Inc. - Spon ADR | 0.36% | 29,300 | $3.1M | Add +372.6% |
| BSX Boston Scientific Corp. | 0.36% | 36,800 | $3.1M | Reduce -15.0% |
| BHP BHP Group Ltd.-Spon ADR | 0.36% | 48,900 | $3.0M | Add +360.4% |
| COR Cencora Inc. | 0.35% | 13,392 | $3.0M | New |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdin | 0.35% | 146,800 | $3.0M | New |
| BAC Bank of America Corp. filed as BANK AMERICA CORP | 0.35% | 75,600 | $3.0M | Reduce -37.0% |
| DAL Delta Air Lines Inc. | 0.35% | 58,400 | $3.0M | New |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 0.34% | 46,500 | $2.9M | Reduce -69.4% |
| DUOL Duolingo | 0.34% | 10,300 | $2.9M | Add +122.4% |
| ALL Allstate Corp. | 0.34% | 15,100 | $2.9M | Add +1061.5% |
| NET Cloudflare Inc. Class A | 0.33% | 35,184 | $2.8M | New |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | 0.33% | 16,890 | $2.8M | New |
| NTNX Nutanix Inc. Class A | 0.32% | 46,800 | $2.8M | New |
| RH RH | 0.32% | 8,290 | $2.8M | New |
| MANH Manhattan Associates Inc. | 0.32% | 9,818 | $2.8M | New |
| INFY Infosys Ltd.-SP ADR | 0.32% | 123,800 | $2.8M | New |
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A | 0.32% | 73,600 | $2.7M | Reduce -10.8% |
| DRI Darden Restaurants Inc. | 0.32% | 16,600 | $2.7M | Reduce -41.5% |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings Inc. | 0.32% | 47,554 | $2.7M | Reduce -3.8% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 0.31% | 69,672 | $2.7M | Add +1423.9% |
| CMCSA Comcast Corp. Class A | 0.31% | 63,400 | $2.6M | New |
| DOC Healthpeak Properties Inc. | 0.31% | 115,100 | $2.6M | New |
| VEEV Veeva Systems Inc. Class A | 0.31% | 12,500 | $2.6M | New |
| ADSK Autodesk Inc. | 0.30% | 9,336 | $2.6M | New |
| UNP Union Pacific Corp. | 0.30% | 10,400 | $2.6M | Reduce -72.4% |
| COO The Cooper Cos Inc. | 0.30% | 22,981 | $2.5M | New |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 0.30% | 11,975 | $2.5M | New |
| GWRE Guidewire Software Inc. | 0.30% | 13,800 | $2.5M | Add +126.2% |
| LHX L3HARRIS Technologies Inc. | 0.29% | 10,584 | $2.5M | Add +975.6% |
| DOCU Docusign Inc. | 0.29% | 40,465 | $2.5M | New |
| LOW Lowe's Cos Inc. | 0.29% | 9,100 | $2.5M | New |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise | 0.29% | 119,918 | $2.5M | Reduce -66.1% |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 0.28% | 6,159 | $2.4M | New |
| TDY Teledyne Technologies Inc. | 0.28% | 5,500 | $2.4M | New |
Portfolio Sells Q2 2024 → Q3 2024
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | Sold out | 0.00% | −4.53 |
| ACN Accenture PLC Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.52 |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | Reduce -88.2% | 0.17% | −1.32 |
| ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.31 |
| SNAP Snap Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.90 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Reduce -94.5% | 0.06% | −0.86 |
| ORCL Oracle Corp. | Reduce -59.0% | 0.79% | −0.77 |
| C Citigroup Inc. | Reduce -69.4% | 0.34% | −0.76 |
| XYZ Block Inc. | Reduce -93.3% | 0.06% | −0.75 |
| MRSH Marsh & McLennan Cos | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.73 |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.72 |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.71 |
| UNP Union Pacific Corp. | Reduce -72.4% | 0.30% | −0.68 |
| GEN Gen Digital Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.64 |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | Reduce -89.3% | 0.08% | −0.61 |
| EXPD Expeditors Intl Wash Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.60 |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise | Reduce -66.1% | 0.29% | −0.57 |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.57 |
| SRE Sempra | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.57 |
| QCOM Qualcomm Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.56 |
| ESTC Elastic NV | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.55 |
| SO The Southern Co. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.51 |
| CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.49 |
| CSX CSX Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.48 |
| ETR Entergy Corp. | Reduce -87.6% | 0.09% | −0.48 |
| TSLA Tesla Inc. | Reduce -41.4% | 1.81% | −0.48 |
| LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. | Reduce -84.9% | 0.08% | −0.47 |
| CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. | Reduce -95.8% | 0.03% | −0.47 |
| MNDY Monday.com Ltd. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.46 |
| AMT American Tower Corp. | Reduce -77.4% | 0.18% | −0.46 |
| ROST Ross Stores Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.46 |
| MMM 3M Co. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.44 |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.43 |
| SPOT Spotify Technology SA | Reduce -48.0% | 0.72% | −0.43 |
| APA Apa Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.43 |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.43 |
| MET Metlife Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.42 |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. Class A | Reduce -49.6% | 0.68% | −0.41 |
| CTRA Coterra Energy Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.39 |
| DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.39 |
| KVUE Kenvue Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.38 |
| K Kellanova | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.37 |
| SKX Skechers USA Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.37 |
| XYL Xylem Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.36 |
| HPQ HP Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.36 |
| VZ Verizon Communications Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.35 |
| CCL Carnival Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.35 |
| DVN Devon Energy Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.34 |
| MNST Monster Beverage Corp. | Reduce -74.1% | 0.13% | −0.33 |
| WAT Waters Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.33 |
Portfolio Buys Q2 2024 → Q3 2024
| NFLX Netflix Inc. | Add +488.4% | 2.10% | +1.77 |
| NKE Nike Inc. Class B | Add +454.4% | 1.89% | +1.61 |
| MDB Mongodb Inc. | New | 1.13% | +1.13 |
| FTNT Fortinet Inc. | New | 1.03% | +1.03 |
| TXN Texas Instruments Inc. | New | 0.96% | +0.96 |
| JD Jd.com Inc.-ADR | Add +321.2% | 1.07% | +0.91 |
| CVX Chevron Corp. | Add +104.8% | 1.75% | +0.86 |
| A Agilent Technologies Inc. | New | 0.85% | +0.85 |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp. | New | 0.81% | +0.81 |
| DELL Dell Technologies -C | New | 0.81% | +0.81 |
| LW Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. | Add +4184.0% | 0.81% | +0.79 |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | New | 0.77% | +0.77 |
| DIS The Walt Disney Co. | Add +1321.8% | 0.77% | +0.71 |
| HES Hess Corp. | Add +2042.9% | 0.72% | +0.68 |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co. | New | 0.62% | +0.62 |
| BCS Barclays PLC-Spons ADR | New | 0.61% | +0.61 |
| MDT Medtronic PLC | Add +122.4% | 0.98% | +0.61 |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc. | New | 0.54% | +0.54 |
| MRK Merck & Co. Inc. | Add +1189.8% | 0.58% | +0.54 |
| TGT Target Corp. | New | 0.53% | +0.53 |
| CHTR Charter Communications Inc. Class A | New | 0.53% | +0.53 |
| KSS Kohls Corp. | New | 0.52% | +0.52 |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices | New | 0.51% | +0.51 |
| PEP Pepsico Inc. | New | 0.51% | +0.51 |
| FAST Fastenal Co. | Add +191.4% | 0.71% | +0.50 |
| JBHT Hunt (jb) Transprt SVCS Inc. | New | 0.50% | +0.50 |
| DE Deere & Co. | New | 0.50% | +0.50 |
| ON On Semiconductor | New | 0.48% | +0.48 |
| BBY Best Buy Co. Inc. | Add +95.4% | 0.80% | +0.47 |
| CVS CVS Health Corp. | New | 0.45% | +0.45 |
| PLD Prologis Inc. | New | 0.45% | +0.45 |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings Inc. | New | 0.42% | +0.42 |
| COP Conocophillips | Add +151.3% | 0.71% | +0.41 |
| ADP Automatic Data Processing | New | 0.41% | +0.41 |
| CAG Conagra Brands Inc. | New | 0.41% | +0.41 |
| SYK Stryker Corp. | New | 0.40% | +0.40 |
| PH Parker Hannifin Corp. | New | 0.39% | +0.39 |
| QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 | New | 0.37% | +0.37 |
| MU Micron Technology Inc. | New | 0.37% | +0.37 |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | New | 0.37% | +0.37 |
| NEE Nextera Energy Inc. | New | 0.36% | +0.36 |
| KEYS Keysight Technologies Inc. | Add +96.0% | 0.63% | +0.36 |
| COR Cencora Inc. | New | 0.35% | +0.35 |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdin | New | 0.35% | +0.35 |
| DAL Delta Air Lines Inc. | New | 0.35% | +0.35 |
| NET Cloudflare Inc. Class A | New | 0.33% | +0.33 |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | New | 0.33% | +0.33 |
| IQV Iqvia Holdings Inc. | Add +605.3% | 0.37% | +0.33 |
| NTNX Nutanix Inc. Class A | New | 0.32% | +0.32 |
| RH RH | New | 0.32% | +0.32 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 223 | $156.3M | BABA, NVDA, MSFT, ORCL, QQQ |
| Q1 2026 | 137 | $81.9M | XOM, MSFT, NKE, META, SNDK |
| Q4 2025 | 108 | $43.6M | MSFT, NVDA, TSM, JPM, NFLX |
| Q3 2025 | 503 | $489.6M | MSFT, META, BSX, ACN, CRWV |
| Q2 2025 | 509 | $633.0M | NKE, DIS, AAPL, WFC, ORCL |
| Q1 2025 | 566 | $604.4M | CSCO, AMD, SPY, PM, KO |
| Q4 2024 | 647 | $817.2M | NKE, AMGN, CRM, DHR, UNP |
| Q3 2024 | 642 | $853.4M | NFLX, NKE, TSLA, CVX, MDB |
| Q2 2024 | 682 | $872.6M | SPY, TSLA, ORCL, ACN, ADBE |
| Q1 2024 | 747 | $1.0B | ORCL, GM, CVX, PYPL, MU |