Bayesian Capital Management, LP
In its 13F for Q1 2026 (holdings as of March 31, 2026, filed May 15, 2026), Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported 137 stock positions worth $81.9 million. Its top holding was Exxon Mobil (XOM) at 3.5% of the portfolio, followed by Microsoft (MSFT, 3.3%) and Nike Class B (NKE, 3.3%). Compared with Q4 2025, it opened 115 new positions, sold out of 86, added to 13 and reduced 9. The biggest buy was a new position in Nike Class B (NKE) and the biggest sale an exit from Nvidia (NVDA).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Brooklyn, NY
- CIK
- 0001632551
- Portfolio Value
- $81.9M (Q1 2026)
- SEC Filing
- 0001420506-26-001146 ↗ filed May 15, 2026
Holdings Value
Holdings 137 stocks · $81.9M
| XOM Exxon Mobil Corp. | 3.50% | 16,900 | $2.9M | Add +550.0% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 3.34% | 7,400 | $2.7M | Add +74.7% |
| NKE Nike Inc. Class B | 3.29% | 51,100 | $2.7M | New |
| META Meta Platforms Inc. Class A | 3.28% | 4,700 | $2.7M | Add +234.3% |
| SNDK Sandisk Corp. | 3.28% | 4,231 | $2.7M | New |
| RKLB Rocket Lab Corp. | 3.18% | 40,600 | $2.6M | New |
| XBI SS SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | 3.10% | 19,900 | $2.5M | New |
| CRWV Coreweave Inc. Class A | 2.95% | 31,190 | $2.4M | New |
| NBIS Nebius Group NV | 2.80% | 22,100 | $2.3M | New |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc. | 1.84% | 9,400 | $1.5M | New |
| BSX Boston Scientific Corp. | 1.81% | 23,600 | $1.5M | New |
| IONQ Ionq Inc. | 1.78% | 50,600 | $1.5M | New |
| CAG Conagra Brands Inc. | 1.69% | 88,200 | $1.4M | New |
| PFE Pfizer Inc. | 1.60% | 46,700 | $1.3M | New |
| LW Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. | 1.59% | 30,900 | $1.3M | New |
| TSLA Tesla Inc. | 1.54% | 3,400 | $1.3M | New |
| APH Amphenol Corp. Class A | 1.48% | 9,601 | $1.2M | New |
| NOW ServiceNow Inc. | 1.35% | 10,600 | $1.1M | New |
| NVO Novo-Nordisk A/S-Spons ADR | 1.28% | 28,600 | $1.1M | New |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 1.22% | 8,809 | $999K | New |
| IREN Iren Ltd. filed as IREN LIMITED | 1.20% | 28,800 | $987K | Add +372.1% |
| MARA Mara Holdings Inc. | 1.03% | 103,300 | $843K | New |
| SOFI Sofi Technologies Inc. | 1.02% | 52,860 | $839K | Add +487.3% |
| AIG American International Group | 1.00% | 10,897 | $820K | New |
| NFLX Netflix Inc. | 0.95% | 8,100 | $779K | Reduce -38.2% |
| DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. | 0.94% | 7,000 | $767K | New |
| SHEL Shell PLC-ADR | 0.91% | 8,043 | $748K | New |
| LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp. | 0.89% | 13,500 | $727K | New |
| ASTS Ast Spacemobile Inc. | 0.87% | 8,587 | $712K | New |
| WEN The Wendy's Co. | 0.86% | 101,100 | $703K | New |
| MO Altria Group Inc. | 0.85% | 10,600 | $699K | New |
| GME Gamestop Corp. Class A | 0.84% | 30,000 | $691K | New |
| AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. | 0.79% | 64,600 | $648K | Add +262.9% |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | 0.77% | 1,478 | $629K | New |
| CELH Celsius Holdings Inc. | 0.77% | 17,700 | $628K | New |
| MKC McCormick & Co.-Non VTG SHRS | 0.76% | 12,300 | $620K | New |
| IBN Icici Bank Ltd.-Spon ADR | 0.75% | 23,858 | $618K | New |
| TIGO Millicom Intl Cellular S.A. | 0.75% | 8,200 | $615K | New |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | 0.74% | 2,100 | $604K | New |
| RF Regions Financial Corp. | 0.73% | 22,900 | $598K | New |
| CHWY Chewy Inc. Class A | 0.73% | 22,130 | $598K | Add +100.6% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp. | 0.72% | 9,068 | $589K | Reduce -3.5% |
| UDR Udr Inc. | 0.70% | 17,000 | $574K | New |
| TMUS T-Mobile US Inc. | 0.70% | 2,734 | $574K | New |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 0.69% | 1,153 | $567K | New |
| EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp. | 0.69% | 7,077 | $567K | New |
| NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc. | 0.68% | 26,449 | $559K | Add +48.6% |
| CVX Chevron Corp. | 0.68% | 2,700 | $559K | New |
| ARM Arm Holdings PLC-ADR | 0.67% | 3,623 | $548K | New |
| APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc. | 0.64% | 13,104 | $527K | New |
| FAST Fastenal Co. | 0.64% | 11,300 | $524K | Add +0.9% |
| COF Capital One Financial Corp. | 0.63% | 2,850 | $520K | New |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | 0.61% | 6,148 | $500K | New |
| TTD Trade Desk Inc./the Class A filed as THE TRADE DESK INC | 0.60% | 21,600 | $490K | Reduce -6.1% |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdin | 0.59% | 25,900 | $484K | New |
| AGX Argan Inc. | 0.56% | 843 | $459K | New |
| ORCL Oracle Corp. | 0.56% | 3,100 | $456K | New |
| WDC Western Digital Corp. | 0.55% | 1,681 | $455K | New |
| SJM The JM Smucker Co. filed as SMUCKER J M CO | 0.55% | 4,700 | $453K | New |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. Class A | 0.54% | 3,739 | $444K | New |
| RBLX Roblox Corp. Class A | 0.54% | 7,780 | $440K | New |
| ALAB Astera Labs Inc. | 0.53% | 3,998 | $438K | New |
| HIMS Hims & Hers Health Inc. | 0.53% | 20,908 | $434K | New |
| ADMA Adma Biologics Inc. | 0.52% | 47,700 | $430K | New |
| NU Nu Holdings Ltd./Cayman Isl-A filed as NU HLDGS LTD | 0.52% | 29,900 | $430K | New |
| CMI Cummins Inc. | 0.52% | 798 | $429K | New |
| ORLY O'reilly Automotive Inc. | 0.51% | 4,560 | $421K | New |
| ABR Arbor Realty Trust Inc. | 0.50% | 53,600 | $413K | New |
| KRMN Karman Holdings Inc. | 0.49% | 5,000 | $400K | New |
| COLD Americold Realty Trust Inc. | 0.47% | 33,335 | $382K | New |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.45% | 1,200 | $371K | New |
| ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. Class A | 0.45% | 22,930 | $365K | New |
| CDE Coeur Mining Inc. | 0.44% | 19,326 | $363K | New |
| BP BP PLC-Spons ADR | 0.42% | 7,300 | $343K | New |
| BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologi | 0.41% | 16,886 | $334K | New |
| JNJ Johnson & Johnson | 0.40% | 1,354 | $331K | New |
| CSGP Costar Group Inc. | 0.40% | 8,100 | $327K | New |
| TSCO Tractor Supply Company | 0.40% | 7,200 | $326K | New |
| VEEV Veeva Systems Inc. Class A | 0.40% | 1,851 | $325K | New |
| GNTX Gentex Corp. | 0.39% | 14,775 | $323K | New |
| CNC Centene Corp. | 0.39% | 9,700 | $318K | New |
| SBUX Starbucks Corp. | 0.38% | 3,500 | $314K | New |
| WMB Williams Cos Inc. | 0.38% | 4,300 | $313K | New |
| GEN Gen Digital Inc. | 0.38% | 16,411 | $309K | Add +105.1% |
| HDB HDFC Bank Ltd.-ADR | 0.38% | 12,373 | $308K | New |
| CRH CRH PLC | 0.37% | 2,900 | $305K | New |
| GILD Gilead Sciences Inc. | 0.37% | 2,167 | $302K | New |
| EQNR Equinor ASA-Spon ADR | 0.37% | 7,155 | $302K | New |
| CVNA Carvana Co. | 0.37% | 958 | $301K | Add +47.8% |
| NVT Nvent Electric PLC | 0.36% | 2,524 | $299K | New |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources | 0.36% | 6,000 | $292K | New |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise | 0.35% | 12,200 | $290K | New |
| KO The Coca-Cola Co. | 0.35% | 3,800 | $289K | New |
| VFC VF Corp. | 0.35% | 17,000 | $289K | New |
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya-SP ADR | 0.34% | 13,000 | $282K | New |
| ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. | 0.34% | 3,862 | $281K | Add +1.5% |
| AMKR Amkor Technology Inc. | 0.34% | 6,199 | $279K | New |
| PCG P G & E Corp. | 0.34% | 15,800 | $278K | New |
| ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies | 0.33% | 19,485 | $270K | New |
| HL Hecla Mining Co. | 0.33% | 14,500 | $270K | New |
Portfolio Sells Q4 2025 → Q1 2026
| NVDA Nvidia Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −3.67 |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | Sold out | 0.00% | −3.58 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Sold out | 0.00% | −2.95 |
| DXCM Dexcom Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −2.19 |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −2.15 |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.97 |
| MDLZ Mondelez International Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.94 |
| NFLX Netflix Inc. | Reduce -38.2% | 0.95% | −1.86 |
| DIS The Walt Disney Co. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.75 |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.75 |
| COO The Cooper Cos Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.69 |
| KRE SS SPDR S&P Regional Bank | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.66 |
| EFX Equifax Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.59 |
| PINS Pinterest Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.58 |
| TTD Trade Desk Inc./the Class A | Reduce -6.1% | 0.60% | −1.40 |
| CARR Carrier Global Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.39 |
| EXAS Exact Sciences Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.38 |
| CPRT Copart Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.28 |
| SEE Sealed Air Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.26 |
| SMR Nuscale Power Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.26 |
| LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. | Reduce -55.6% | 0.26% | −1.24 |
| HRL Hormel Foods Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.16 |
| CVS CVS Health Corp. | Reduce -61.4% | 0.25% | −1.07 |
| TU Telus Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.07 |
| PAYX Paychex Inc. | Reduce -45.4% | 0.31% | −0.99 |
| BHF Brighthouse Financial Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.96 |
| LKQ LKQ Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.92 |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.91 |
| SAP Sap SE-Sponsored ADR | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.88 |
| GIS General Mills Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.86 |
| FISV Fiserv Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.86 |
| BF.B Brown-Forman Corp. Class B | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.85 |
| LYFT LYFT Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.84 |
| HAS Hasbro Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.83 |
| MELI MercadoLibre Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.82 |
| ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.78 |
| TOST Toast Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.77 |
| WULF Terawulf Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.75 |
| HALO Halozyme Therapeutics Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.74 |
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.71 |
| TXN Texas Instruments Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.69 |
| BAX Baxter International Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.68 |
| ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.67 |
| ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.67 |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.67 |
| CSCO Cisco Systems Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.65 |
| XLB SS Materials Select Sector | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.64 |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.64 |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.64 |
| CPNG Coupang Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.63 |
Portfolio Buys Q4 2025 → Q1 2026
| NKE Nike Inc. Class B | New | 3.29% | +3.29 |
| SNDK Sandisk Corp. | New | 3.28% | +3.28 |
| RKLB Rocket Lab Corp. | New | 3.18% | +3.18 |
| XBI SS SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | New | 3.10% | +3.10 |
| CRWV Coreweave Inc. Class A | New | 2.95% | +2.95 |
| NBIS Nebius Group NV | New | 2.80% | +2.80 |
| XOM Exxon Mobil Corp. | Add +550.0% | 3.50% | +2.78 |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc. | New | 1.84% | +1.84 |
| BSX Boston Scientific Corp. | New | 1.81% | +1.81 |
| IONQ Ionq Inc. | New | 1.78% | +1.78 |
| CAG Conagra Brands Inc. | New | 1.69% | +1.69 |
| PFE Pfizer Inc. | New | 1.60% | +1.60 |
| LW Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. | New | 1.59% | +1.59 |
| TSLA Tesla Inc. | New | 1.54% | +1.54 |
| APH Amphenol Corp. Class A | New | 1.48% | +1.48 |
| NOW ServiceNow Inc. | New | 1.35% | +1.35 |
| NVO Novo-Nordisk A/S-Spons ADR | New | 1.28% | +1.28 |
| C Citigroup Inc. | New | 1.22% | +1.22 |
| META Meta Platforms Inc. Class A | Add +234.3% | 3.28% | +1.15 |
| MARA Mara Holdings Inc. | New | 1.03% | +1.03 |
| AIG American International Group | New | 1.00% | +1.00 |
| DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. | New | 0.94% | +0.94 |
| SHEL Shell PLC-ADR | New | 0.91% | +0.91 |
| LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp. | New | 0.89% | +0.89 |
| ASTS Ast Spacemobile Inc. | New | 0.87% | +0.87 |
| WEN The Wendy's Co. | New | 0.86% | +0.86 |
| MO Altria Group Inc. | New | 0.85% | +0.85 |
| GME Gamestop Corp. Class A | New | 0.84% | +0.84 |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | New | 0.77% | +0.77 |
| CELH Celsius Holdings Inc. | New | 0.77% | +0.77 |
| MKC McCormick & Co.-Non VTG SHRS | New | 0.76% | +0.76 |
| IBN Icici Bank Ltd.-Spon ADR | New | 0.75% | +0.75 |
| TIGO Millicom Intl Cellular S.A. | New | 0.75% | +0.75 |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | New | 0.74% | +0.74 |
| RF Regions Financial Corp. | New | 0.73% | +0.73 |
| TMUS T-Mobile US Inc. | New | 0.70% | +0.70 |
| UDR Udr Inc. | New | 0.70% | +0.70 |
| EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp. | New | 0.69% | +0.69 |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | New | 0.69% | +0.69 |
| CVX Chevron Corp. | New | 0.68% | +0.68 |
| IREN Iren Ltd. | Add +372.1% | 1.20% | +0.68 |
| ARM Arm Holdings PLC-ADR | New | 0.67% | +0.67 |
| APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc. | New | 0.64% | +0.64 |
| COF Capital One Financial Corp. | New | 0.63% | +0.63 |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | New | 0.61% | +0.61 |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdin | New | 0.59% | +0.59 |
| AGX Argan Inc. | New | 0.56% | +0.56 |
| ORCL Oracle Corp. | New | 0.56% | +0.56 |
| WDC Western Digital Corp. | New | 0.55% | +0.55 |
| SJM The JM Smucker Co. | New | 0.55% | +0.55 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 223 | $156.3M | BABA, NVDA, MSFT, ORCL, QQQ |
| Q1 2026 | 137 | $81.9M | XOM, MSFT, NKE, META, SNDK |
| Q4 2025 | 108 | $43.6M | MSFT, NVDA, TSM, JPM, NFLX |
| Q3 2025 | 503 | $489.6M | MSFT, META, BSX, ACN, CRWV |
| Q2 2025 | 509 | $633.0M | NKE, DIS, AAPL, WFC, ORCL |
| Q1 2025 | 566 | $604.4M | CSCO, AMD, SPY, PM, KO |
| Q4 2024 | 647 | $817.2M | NKE, AMGN, CRM, DHR, UNP |
| Q3 2024 | 642 | $853.4M | NFLX, NKE, TSLA, CVX, MDB |
| Q2 2024 | 682 | $872.6M | SPY, TSLA, ORCL, ACN, ADBE |
| Q1 2024 | 747 | $1.0B | ORCL, GM, CVX, PYPL, MU |