Bayesian Capital Management, LP
In its 13F for Q4 2025 (holdings as of December 31, 2025, filed February 17, 2026), Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported 108 stock positions worth $43.6 million. Its top holding was Microsoft (MSFT) at 4.7% of the portfolio, followed by Nvidia (NVDA, 3.7%) and Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR (TSM, 3.6%). Compared with Q3 2025, it opened 77 new positions, sold out of 472, added to 4 and reduced 27. The biggest buy was Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR (TSM, shares +295%) and the biggest sale an exit from Boston Scientific (BSX).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Brooklyn, NY
- CIK
- 0001632551
- Portfolio Value
- $43.6M (Q4 2025)
- SEC Filing
- 0001420506-26-000570 ↗ filed Feb 17, 2026
Holdings Value
Holdings 108 stocks · $43.6M
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 4.69% | 4,235 | $2.0M | Reduce -65.3% |
| NVDA Nvidia Corp. | 3.67% | 8,600 | $1.6M | Reduce -25.2% |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | 3.58% | 5,141 | $1.6M | Add +295.5% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 2.95% | 4,000 | $1.3M | New |
| NFLX Netflix Inc. | 2.81% | 13,100 | $1.2M | Reduce -60.3% |
| DXCM Dexcom Inc. | 2.19% | 14,381 | $954K | Add +53.0% |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Inc. | 2.15% | 14,750 | $940K | New |
| META Meta Platforms Inc. Class A | 2.13% | 1,406 | $928K | Reduce -82.8% |
| TTD Trade Desk Inc./the Class A filed as THE TRADE DESK INC | 2.00% | 23,000 | $873K | New |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 1.97% | 3,500 | $862K | New |
| MDLZ Mondelez International Inc. Class A | 1.94% | 15,700 | $845K | New |
| DIS The Walt Disney Co. filed as DISNEY WALT CO | 1.75% | 6,721 | $765K | Reduce -77.1% |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | 1.75% | 6,100 | $764K | New |
| COO The Cooper Cos Inc. | 1.69% | 9,000 | $738K | New |
| KRE SS SPDR S&P Regional Bank | 1.66% | 11,200 | $726K | New |
| EFX Equifax Inc. | 1.59% | 3,189 | $692K | New |
| PINS Pinterest Inc. Class A | 1.58% | 26,600 | $689K | Reduce -20.8% |
| LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. | 1.50% | 3,158 | $656K | New |
| CARR Carrier Global Corp. | 1.39% | 11,500 | $608K | New |
| EXAS Exact Sciences Corp. | 1.38% | 5,922 | $601K | New |
| CVS CVS Health Corp. | 1.32% | 7,248 | $575K | Reduce -59.3% |
| PAYX Paychex Inc. | 1.30% | 5,065 | $568K | Reduce -82.0% |
| CPRT Copart Inc. | 1.28% | 14,290 | $559K | New |
| SEE Sealed Air Corp. | 1.26% | 13,318 | $552K | Reduce -28.0% |
| SMR Nuscale Power Corp. | 1.26% | 38,889 | $551K | New |
| HRL Hormel Foods Corp. | 1.16% | 21,300 | $505K | New |
| TU Telus Corp. | 1.07% | 35,300 | $465K | New |
| FAST Fastenal Co. | 1.03% | 11,200 | $449K | New |
| BHF Brighthouse Financial Inc. | 0.96% | 6,466 | $419K | New |
| LKQ LKQ Corp. | 0.92% | 13,306 | $402K | New |
| NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc. | 0.91% | 17,800 | $398K | New |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | 0.91% | 580 | $396K | Reduce -84.3% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp. | 0.89% | 9,400 | $387K | Reduce -60.7% |
| SAP Sap SE-Sponsored ADR | 0.88% | 1,578 | $383K | New |
| GIS General Mills Inc. | 0.86% | 8,107 | $377K | Reduce -85.2% |
| FISV Fiserv Inc. | 0.86% | 5,600 | $376K | New |
| BF.B Brown-Forman Corp. Class B | 0.85% | 14,200 | $370K | Reduce -56.4% |
| LYFT LYFT Inc. Class A | 0.84% | 19,000 | $368K | New |
| CHWY Chewy Inc. Class A | 0.84% | 11,030 | $365K | New |
| HAS Hasbro Inc. | 0.83% | 4,400 | $361K | Reduce -76.5% |
| MELI MercadoLibre Inc. | 0.82% | 177 | $357K | New |
| ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Class A | 0.78% | 45,100 | $339K | New |
| TOST Toast Inc. Class A | 0.77% | 9,500 | $337K | New |
| WULF Terawulf Inc. | 0.75% | 28,600 | $329K | New |
| HALO Halozyme Therapeutics Inc. | 0.74% | 4,804 | $323K | Reduce -86.1% |
| XOM Exxon Mobil Corp. | 0.72% | 2,600 | $313K | Reduce -57.4% |
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. | 0.71% | 8,318 | $308K | New |
| TXN Texas Instruments Inc. | 0.69% | 1,747 | $303K | New |
| BAX Baxter International Inc. | 0.68% | 15,600 | $298K | Reduce -1.9% |
| ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc. | 0.67% | 484 | $293K | New |
| ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc. | 0.67% | 12,900 | $292K | Reduce -31.4% |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | 0.67% | 27,800 | $291K | New |
| OSCR Oscar Health Inc. Class A | 0.67% | 20,200 | $290K | New |
| CSCO Cisco Systems Inc. | 0.65% | 3,700 | $285K | New |
| XLB SS Materials Select Sector | 0.64% | 6,200 | $281K | New |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | 0.64% | 800 | $280K | Reduce -79.2% |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | 0.64% | 3,200 | $279K | New |
| CPNG Coupang Inc. | 0.63% | 11,615 | $274K | New |
| ELF Elf Beauty Inc. | 0.63% | 3,599 | $274K | New |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | 0.63% | 2,277 | $274K | New |
| CVNA Carvana Co. | 0.63% | 648 | $273K | New |
| NRG NRG Energy Inc. | 0.62% | 1,700 | $271K | Reduce -45.2% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 0.62% | 15,900 | $269K | New |
| AXON Axon Enterprise Inc. | 0.61% | 468 | $266K | Reduce -68.8% |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | 0.61% | 2,000 | $265K | New |
| GEHC GE Healthcare Technology | 0.60% | 3,200 | $262K | New |
| DUOL Duolingo | 0.59% | 1,467 | $257K | New |
| COP Conocophillips | 0.59% | 2,745 | $257K | Reduce -83.4% |
| STM Stmicroelectronics NV-NY SHS | 0.57% | 9,619 | $250K | New |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 0.57% | 373 | $247K | Add +12.3% |
| RELY Remitly Global Inc. | 0.57% | 17,900 | $247K | Reduce -73.2% |
| NSA National Storage Affiliates | 0.55% | 8,441 | $238K | New |
| IOT Samsara Inc. Class A | 0.54% | 6,700 | $238K | Reduce -88.8% |
| VMC Vulcan Materials Co. | 0.54% | 831 | $237K | New |
| SOFI Sofi Technologies Inc. | 0.54% | 9,000 | $236K | New |
| IREN Iren Ltd. filed as IREN LIMITED | 0.53% | 6,100 | $230K | New |
| TGT Target Corp. | 0.50% | 2,248 | $220K | New |
| ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. | 0.50% | 3,806 | $219K | New |
| GEN Gen Digital Inc. | 0.50% | 8,000 | $218K | New |
| LUNR Intuitive Machines Inc. | 0.50% | 13,367 | $217K | New |
| FSK FS KKR Capital Corp. | 0.49% | 14,497 | $215K | New |
| PSKY Paramount Skydance Class B | 0.49% | 16,000 | $214K | New |
| ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Class A | 0.49% | 1,700 | $214K | New |
| APA Apa Corp. | 0.49% | 8,700 | $213K | Reduce -53.0% |
| HMY Harmony Gold MNG-Spon ADR | 0.49% | 10,651 | $212K | New |
| ONON On Holding AG Class A filed as ON HLDG AG | 0.48% | 4,500 | $209K | Reduce -88.1% |
| CART Maplebear Inc. | 0.47% | 4,600 | $207K | New |
| MDB Mongodb Inc. | 0.47% | 490 | $206K | New |
| APP AppLovin Corp. Class A | 0.47% | 302 | $203K | New |
| RUN Sunrun Inc. | 0.46% | 10,900 | $201K | New |
| MNKD Mannkind Corp. | 0.46% | 35,200 | $200K | New |
| MGNI Magnite Inc. | 0.45% | 11,987 | $195K | New |
| AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. | 0.44% | 17,800 | $191K | New |
| DAWN Day One Biopharmaceuticals I | 0.43% | 20,277 | $189K | New |
| OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc. | 0.41% | 30,700 | $179K | New |
| NOMD Nomad Foods Ltd. | 0.40% | 13,786 | $172K | New |
| AI C3.AI Inc. Class A | 0.36% | 11,800 | $159K | Reduce -45.4% |
| EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises Inc. | 0.32% | 12,100 | $139K | New |
| ITUB Itau Unibanco H-Spon PRF ADR | 0.31% | 19,128 | $137K | New |
| CNH CNH Industrial NV | 0.31% | 14,800 | $136K | New |
| DEI Douglas Emmett Inc. | 0.27% | 10,799 | $119K | New |
| NVAX Novavax Inc. | 0.27% | 17,374 | $117K | Add +69.1% |
| HUN Huntsman Corp. | 0.26% | 11,300 | $113K | New |
| SHLS Shoals Technologies Group -A | 0.25% | 13,000 | $111K | New |
| GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. | 0.22% | 11,200 | $98K | New |
| GOGO Gogo Inc. | 0.20% | 18,721 | $87K | New |
| IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc. | 0.10% | 15,300 | $42K | New |
| MIST Milestone Pharmaceuticals Inc. | 0.08% | 17,215 | $35K | New |
Portfolio Sells Q3 2025 → Q4 2025
| BSX Boston Scientific Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.10 |
| ACN Accenture PLC Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.09 |
| CRWV Coreweave Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −1.01 |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.99 |
| EXPE Expedia Group Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.98 |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.98 |
| IDXX Idexx Laboratories Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.94 |
| FFIV F5 Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.87 |
| MMM 3M Co. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.87 |
| LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.83 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.82 |
| DAL Delta Air Lines Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.81 |
| NVO Novo-Nordisk A/S-Spons ADR | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.77 |
| OKTA Okta Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.76 |
| MCD McDonald's Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.71 |
| FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.71 |
| ABBV Abbvie Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.68 |
| EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.67 |
| APD Air Products & Chemicals Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.64 |
| SBUX Starbucks Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.64 |
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.62 |
| CIEN Ciena Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.61 |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.61 |
| XYL Xylem Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.60 |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.59 |
| FTV Fortive Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.58 |
| DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.58 |
| NTRA Natera Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.57 |
| FSLR First Solar Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.55 |
| CTSH Cognizant Tech Solutions-A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.54 |
| FCX Freeport-McMoran Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.53 |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.53 |
| JCI Johnson Controls Internation | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.53 |
| TJX TJX Companies Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.53 |
| MGM MGM Resorts International | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.52 |
| BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.51 |
| SE Sea Ltd.-ADR | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.51 |
| P Everpure Inc. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.49 |
| EA Electronic Arts Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.49 |
| BURL Burlington Stores Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.49 |
| CCK Crown Holdings Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.49 |
| ADSK Autodesk Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.48 |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Co. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.48 |
| DOCU Docusign Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.48 |
| DOV Dover Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.47 |
| COF Capital One Financial Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.46 |
| CDW CDW Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.46 |
| MAS Masco Corp. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.46 |
| GME Gamestop Corp. Class A | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.46 |
| GAP The Gap Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.45 |
Portfolio Buys Q3 2025 → Q4 2025
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | Add +295.5% | 3.58% | +3.51 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | New | 2.95% | +2.95 |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Inc. | New | 2.15% | +2.15 |
| DXCM Dexcom Inc. | Add +53.0% | 2.19% | +2.06 |
| TTD Trade Desk Inc./the Class A | New | 2.00% | +2.00 |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | New | 1.97% | +1.97 |
| MDLZ Mondelez International Inc. Class A | New | 1.94% | +1.94 |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | New | 1.75% | +1.75 |
| COO The Cooper Cos Inc. | New | 1.69% | +1.69 |
| KRE SS SPDR S&P Regional Bank | New | 1.66% | +1.66 |
| EFX Equifax Inc. | New | 1.59% | +1.59 |
| LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. | New | 1.50% | +1.50 |
| CARR Carrier Global Corp. | New | 1.39% | +1.39 |
| EXAS Exact Sciences Corp. | New | 1.38% | +1.38 |
| CPRT Copart Inc. | New | 1.28% | +1.28 |
| SMR Nuscale Power Corp. | New | 1.26% | +1.26 |
| HRL Hormel Foods Corp. | New | 1.16% | +1.16 |
| TU Telus Corp. | New | 1.07% | +1.07 |
| FAST Fastenal Co. | New | 1.03% | +1.03 |
| BHF Brighthouse Financial Inc. | New | 0.96% | +0.96 |
| LKQ LKQ Corp. | New | 0.92% | +0.92 |
| NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc. | New | 0.91% | +0.91 |
| SAP Sap SE-Sponsored ADR | New | 0.88% | +0.88 |
| FISV Fiserv Inc. | New | 0.86% | +0.86 |
| LYFT LYFT Inc. Class A | New | 0.84% | +0.84 |
| CHWY Chewy Inc. Class A | New | 0.84% | +0.84 |
| MELI MercadoLibre Inc. | New | 0.82% | +0.82 |
| ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. Class A | New | 0.78% | +0.78 |
| TOST Toast Inc. Class A | New | 0.77% | +0.77 |
| WULF Terawulf Inc. | New | 0.75% | +0.75 |
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. | New | 0.71% | +0.71 |
| TXN Texas Instruments Inc. | New | 0.69% | +0.69 |
| ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc. | New | 0.67% | +0.67 |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | New | 0.67% | +0.67 |
| OSCR Oscar Health Inc. Class A | New | 0.67% | +0.67 |
| CSCO Cisco Systems Inc. | New | 0.65% | +0.65 |
| XLB SS Materials Select Sector | New | 0.64% | +0.64 |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | New | 0.64% | +0.64 |
| CPNG Coupang Inc. | New | 0.63% | +0.63 |
| ELF Elf Beauty Inc. | New | 0.63% | +0.63 |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | New | 0.63% | +0.63 |
| CVNA Carvana Co. | New | 0.63% | +0.63 |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | New | 0.62% | +0.62 |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | New | 0.61% | +0.61 |
| GEHC GE Healthcare Technology | New | 0.60% | +0.60 |
| DUOL Duolingo | New | 0.59% | +0.59 |
| STM Stmicroelectronics NV-NY SHS | New | 0.57% | +0.57 |
| NSA National Storage Affiliates | New | 0.55% | +0.55 |
| VMC Vulcan Materials Co. | New | 0.54% | +0.54 |
| SOFI Sofi Technologies Inc. | New | 0.54% | +0.54 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 223 | $156.3M | BABA, NVDA, MSFT, ORCL, QQQ |
| Q1 2026 | 137 | $81.9M | XOM, MSFT, NKE, META, SNDK |
| Q4 2025 | 108 | $43.6M | MSFT, NVDA, TSM, JPM, NFLX |
| Q3 2025 | 503 | $489.6M | MSFT, META, BSX, ACN, CRWV |
| Q2 2025 | 509 | $633.0M | NKE, DIS, AAPL, WFC, ORCL |
| Q1 2025 | 566 | $604.4M | CSCO, AMD, SPY, PM, KO |
| Q4 2024 | 647 | $817.2M | NKE, AMGN, CRM, DHR, UNP |
| Q3 2024 | 642 | $853.4M | NFLX, NKE, TSLA, CVX, MDB |
| Q2 2024 | 682 | $872.6M | SPY, TSLA, ORCL, ACN, ADBE |
| Q1 2024 | 747 | $1.0B | ORCL, GM, CVX, PYPL, MU |