High Probability Advisors, LLC
In its 13F for Q2 2026 (holdings as of June 30, 2026, filed July 13, 2026), High Probability Advisors, LLC reported 75 stock positions worth $935.0 million. Its top holding was Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC) at 12.5% of the portfolio, followed by iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, 11.8%) and Dimensional US High Profi Et (DUHP, 7.2%). Compared with Q1 2026, it opened 10 new positions, sold out of 2, added to 34 and reduced 15. The biggest buy was iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, shares +2%) and the biggest sale an exit from iShares Gold Trust (IAU).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Pittsford, NY
- CIK
- 0002039415
- Portfolio Value
- $935.0M (Q2 2026)
- SEC Filing
- 0002085853-26-000697 ↗ filed Jul 13, 2026
Holdings Value
Holdings 75 stocks · $935.0M
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | 12.55% | 827,017 | $117.3M | Add +4.9% |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | 11.81% | 322,023 | $110.4M | Add +2.5% |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | 7.18% | 1,609,605 | $67.2M | Add +6.1% |
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | 6.41% | 881,484 | $59.9M | Add +6.0% |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | 5.51% | 956,143 | $51.5M | Add +23.3% |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | 5.20% | 1,063,683 | $48.6M | Add +7.5% |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | 4.77% | 1,307,603 | $44.6M | Add +7.0% |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | 4.54% | 1,758,868 | $42.5M | Add +4.5% |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | 4.30% | 417,169 | $40.2M | Add +6.0% |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | 4.15% | 1,574,348 | $38.8M | Add +23.7% |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | 3.94% | 295,565 | $36.9M | Add +5.5% |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | 3.70% | 443,665 | $34.6M | Add +4.5% |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | 3.36% | 939,100 | $31.4M | Add +5.4% |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | 2.99% | 289,841 | $28.0M | Add +5.3% |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | 2.97% | 341,750 | $27.8M | Add +4.6% |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | 2.58% | 568,588 | $24.1M | Add +6.6% |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | 2.23% | 189,323 | $20.9M | Add +6.2% |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | 1.70% | 380,882 | $15.9M | Add +5.1% |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | 1.65% | 169,229 | $15.4M | Add +5.6% |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | 1.59% | 306,034 | $14.9M | Add +5.6% |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | 1.27% | 454,386 | $11.9M | Add +12.6% |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | 1.02% | 12,724 | $9.5M | No change |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | 0.55% | 58,738 | $5.2M | Add +6.2% |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 0.52% | 95,878 | $4.8M | Add +32.7% |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | 0.24% | 5,180 | $2.2M | No change |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | 0.23% | 23,102 | $2.2M | Add +0.1% |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | 0.21% | 20,709 | $2.0M | Add +6.2% |
| IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | 0.19% | 2,422 | $1.8M | Add +1.3% |
| IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E | 0.16% | 6,221 | $1.5M | No change |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | 0.15% | 4,848 | $1.4M | Add +0.4% |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | 0.14% | 29,474 | $1.3M | Reduce -4.4% |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | 0.13% | 18,251 | $1.2M | Add +5.7% |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | 0.13% | 15,908 | $1.2M | Reduce -0.3% |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | 0.12% | 37,355 | $1.1M | Add +2.0% |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.11% | 3,275 | $984K | No change |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | 0.10% | 47,014 | $972K | Reduce -9.5% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 0.08% | 2,067 | $771K | Reduce -10.3% |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | 0.08% | 2,145 | $767K | Reduce -3.6% |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | 0.08% | 4,937 | $732K | Reduce -0.8% |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | 0.07% | 1,360 | $668K | Reduce -2.8% |
| VEA Vanguard Ftse Developed ETF | 0.07% | 9,286 | $662K | No change |
| DFAT Dimensional US Target Value | 0.06% | 8,672 | $606K | No change |
| OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF | 0.06% | 1,610 | $589K | No change |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | 0.06% | 1,226 | $522K | Reduce -8.4% |
| ACWI iShares MSCI Acwi ETF | 0.05% | 3,253 | $511K | No change |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | 0.05% | 4,797 | $509K | No change |
| MU Micron Technology Inc. | 0.05% | 432 | $499K | New |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | 0.05% | 4,713 | $472K | Add +0.4% |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | 0.05% | 3,902 | $458K | Add +0.6% |
| NVDA Nvidia Corp. | 0.05% | 2,135 | $427K | Add +30.3% |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | 0.04% | 6,977 | $402K | Add +4.7% |
| SUSA iShares ESG Optimized MSCI U | 0.04% | 2,585 | $399K | Add +0.1% |
| DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va | 0.04% | 6,646 | $366K | No change |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group Inc. | 0.04% | 2,750 | $364K | No change |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | 0.04% | 976 | $344K | Reduce -3.3% |
| SCHA Schwab US Small-Cap ETF | 0.03% | 8,840 | $319K | No change |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | 0.03% | 664 | $317K | Reduce -39.1% |
| IJH iShares Core S&P Midcap ETF | 0.03% | 3,831 | $295K | No change |
| V Visa Inc. Class A | 0.03% | 828 | $284K | Reduce -3.8% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 0.03% | 824 | $270K | Reduce -8.4% |
| COHR Coherent Corp. | 0.03% | 675 | $266K | New |
| AMZN Amazon.com Inc. | 0.03% | 1,096 | $261K | No change |
| CRDO Credo Technology Group Holdi | 0.03% | 895 | $243K | New |
| ABBV Abbvie Inc. | 0.03% | 954 | $240K | Reduce -3.5% |
| VXUS Vanguard Total Intl Stock | 0.02% | 2,541 | $217K | New |
| ASML ASML Holding NV-NY Reg SHS filed as ASML HLDG NV | 0.02% | 108 | $215K | New |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | 0.02% | 1,971 | $210K | No change |
| AMAT Applied Materials Inc. | 0.02% | 289 | $209K | New |
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.02% | 777 | $209K | New |
| BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B | 0.02% | 412 | $206K | New |
| DFUS Dimensional US Eq MKT ETF | 0.02% | 2,501 | $205K | Reduce -13.5% |
| DFSU Dimensional US Sus CORE1 ETF | 0.02% | 4,325 | $202K | New |
| IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value E | 0.02% | 905 | $200K | New |
| NIO Nio Inc. - ADR | 0.02% | 33,195 | $168K | Reduce -10.3% |
| KODK Eastman Kodak Co. | 0.01% | 11,160 | $103K | No change |
Portfolio Sells Q1 2026 → Q2 2026
| IAU iShares Gold Trust | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.03 |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | Reduce -10.3% | 0.08% | −0.03 |
| TNGY Tortoise Energy ETF | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.02 |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | Reduce -9.5% | 0.10% | −0.02 |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | Reduce -4.4% | 0.14% | −0.01 |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | Reduce -39.1% | 0.03% | −0.01 |
| NIO Nio Inc. - ADR | Reduce -10.3% | 0.02% | −0.01 |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | Reduce -0.3% | 0.13% | −0.01 |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | Reduce -3.3% | 0.04% | −0.01 |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | Reduce -8.4% | 0.06% | −0.01 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Reduce -8.4% | 0.03% | −0.01 |
| DFUS Dimensional US Eq MKT ETF | Reduce -13.5% | 0.02% | −0.00 |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | Reduce -2.8% | 0.07% | −0.00 |
| V Visa Inc. Class A | Reduce -3.8% | 0.03% | −0.00 |
| ABBV Abbvie Inc. | Reduce -3.5% | 0.03% | −0.00 |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | Reduce -0.8% | 0.08% | −0.00 |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | Reduce -3.6% | 0.08% | +0.00 |
Portfolio Buys Q1 2026 → Q2 2026
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | Add +2.5% | 11.81% | +2.15 |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | Add +23.3% | 5.51% | +0.24 |
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | Add +6.0% | 6.41% | +0.22 |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | Add +5.3% | 2.99% | +0.15 |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | Add +5.6% | 1.65% | +0.12 |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | Add +23.7% | 4.15% | +0.10 |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | Add +32.7% | 0.52% | +0.06 |
| MU Micron Technology Inc. | New | 0.05% | +0.05 |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | Add +6.1% | 7.18% | +0.05 |
| COHR Coherent Corp. | New | 0.03% | +0.03 |
| CRDO Credo Technology Group Holdi | New | 0.03% | +0.03 |
| VXUS Vanguard Total Intl Stock | New | 0.02% | +0.02 |
| ASML ASML Holding NV-NY Reg SHS | New | 0.02% | +0.02 |
| AMAT Applied Materials Inc. | New | 0.02% | +0.02 |
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | New | 0.02% | +0.02 |
| BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B | New | 0.02% | +0.02 |
| DFSU Dimensional US Sus CORE1 ETF | New | 0.02% | +0.02 |
| IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value E | New | 0.02% | +0.02 |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | Add +6.2% | 0.55% | +0.01 |
| NVDA Nvidia Corp. | Add +30.3% | 0.05% | +0.01 |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | Add +4.7% | 0.04% | +0.00 |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | Add +5.7% | 0.13% | +0.00 |
| SUSA iShares ESG Optimized MSCI U | Add +0.1% | 0.04% | −0.00 |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | Add +2.0% | 0.12% | −0.00 |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | Add +6.2% | 0.21% | −0.00 |
| IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | Add +1.3% | 0.19% | −0.01 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Add +0.4% | 0.15% | −0.01 |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | Add +0.4% | 0.05% | −0.01 |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | Add +0.6% | 0.05% | −0.01 |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | Add +0.1% | 0.23% | −0.01 |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | Add +5.5% | 3.94% | −0.02 |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | Add +4.6% | 2.97% | −0.06 |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | Add +4.5% | 3.70% | −0.07 |
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | Add +4.9% | 12.55% | −0.08 |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | Add +12.6% | 1.27% | −0.08 |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | Add +6.2% | 2.23% | −0.10 |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | Add +5.6% | 1.59% | −0.13 |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | Add +5.1% | 1.70% | −0.14 |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | Add +7.5% | 5.20% | −0.26 |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | Add +7.0% | 4.77% | −0.27 |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | Add +6.6% | 2.58% | −0.31 |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | Add +6.0% | 4.30% | −0.37 |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | Add +5.4% | 3.36% | −0.46 |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | Add +4.5% | 4.54% | −0.69 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 75 | $935.0M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, NYF |
| Q1 2026 | 67 | $781.4M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, GSIE |
| Q4 2025 | 73 | $749.9M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2025 | 65 | $729.3M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q2 2025 | 60 | $668.7M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q1 2025 | 55 | $599.6M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q4 2024 | 55 | $557.8M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2024 | 57 | $587.2M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q2 2024 | 54 | $551.5M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q1 2024 | 56 | $539.1M | GSLC, DUHP, GSIE, MTUM, DIHP |