High Probability Advisors, LLC
In its 13F for Q1 2026 (holdings as of March 31, 2026, filed April 13, 2026), High Probability Advisors, LLC reported 67 stock positions worth $781.4 million. Its top holding was Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC) at 12.6% of the portfolio, followed by iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, 9.7%) and Dimensional US High Profi Et (DUHP, 7.1%). Compared with Q4 2025, it opened 4 new positions, sold out of 10, added to 28 and reduced 19. The biggest buy was Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd (DYNF, shares +90%) and the biggest sale Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC, shares −3%).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Pittsford, NY
- CIK
- 0002039415
- Portfolio Value
- $781.4M (Q1 2026)
- SEC Filing
- 0002085853-26-000339 ↗ filed Apr 13, 2026
Holdings Value
Holdings 67 stocks · $781.4M
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | 12.63% | 788,473 | $98.7M | Reduce -2.8% |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | 9.65% | 314,322 | $75.4M | Reduce -2.3% |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | 7.14% | 1,517,010 | $55.8M | Reduce -0.3% |
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | 6.19% | 831,989 | $48.4M | Add +89.8% |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | 5.46% | 989,692 | $42.7M | Add +2.0% |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | 5.27% | 775,203 | $41.2M | Add +23.1% |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | 5.23% | 1,682,861 | $40.8M | Add +14.6% |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | 5.04% | 1,222,521 | $39.4M | Add +2.0% |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | 4.67% | 393,657 | $36.5M | Add +2.9% |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | 4.06% | 1,272,625 | $31.7M | Add +6.2% |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | 3.96% | 280,293 | $31.0M | Reduce -9.8% |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | 3.82% | 890,888 | $29.9M | Add +13.9% |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | 3.77% | 424,713 | $29.5M | Reduce -1.2% |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | 3.04% | 326,720 | $23.7M | Add +5.6% |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | 2.89% | 533,407 | $22.6M | Add +12.4% |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | 2.84% | 275,318 | $22.2M | Reduce -5.7% |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | 2.33% | 178,271 | $18.2M | Add +3.9% |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | 1.84% | 362,399 | $14.4M | Reduce -1.6% |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | 1.72% | 289,799 | $13.4M | Add +0.6% |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | 1.53% | 160,298 | $11.9M | Add +2.4% |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | 1.36% | 403,545 | $10.6M | Add +40.0% |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | 1.06% | 12,724 | $8.3M | Add +375.8% |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | 0.54% | 55,336 | $4.2M | Add +2.9% |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 0.46% | 72,251 | $3.6M | Reduce -7.0% |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | 0.25% | 5,180 | $1.9M | No change |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | 0.25% | 23,069 | $1.9M | No change |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | 0.22% | 19,497 | $1.7M | Reduce -1.3% |
| IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | 0.20% | 2,390 | $1.6M | Reduce -29.1% |
| IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E | 0.17% | 6,221 | $1.3M | Reduce -5.2% |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | 0.16% | 4,829 | $1.2M | Reduce -0.1% |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | 0.15% | 30,828 | $1.2M | No change |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | 0.14% | 15,964 | $1.1M | Add +0.3% |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | 0.13% | 17,267 | $1.0M | Add +0.6% |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | 0.12% | 51,949 | $949K | Reduce -4.9% |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | 0.12% | 36,623 | $919K | Reduce -4.8% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 0.11% | 2,303 | $853K | Add +22.6% |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.10% | 3,275 | $812K | No change |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | 0.08% | 2,226 | $640K | Add +14.4% |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | 0.08% | 4,976 | $619K | Reduce -13.2% |
| VEA Vanguard Ftse Developed ETF | 0.08% | 9,286 | $595K | No change |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | 0.07% | 1,399 | $583K | Add +2.9% |
| DFAT Dimensional US Target Value | 0.07% | 8,672 | $542K | No change |
| OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF | 0.07% | 1,610 | $512K | No change |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | 0.07% | 4,797 | $512K | No change |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | 0.06% | 1,338 | $479K | Add +9.1% |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | 0.06% | 4,693 | $470K | Reduce -3.1% |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | 0.06% | 3,878 | $460K | No change |
| ACWI iShares MSCI Acwi ETF | 0.06% | 3,253 | $450K | No change |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group Inc. | 0.05% | 2,750 | $372K | No change |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | 0.05% | 1,091 | $369K | Add +64.3% |
| SUSA iShares ESG Optimized MSCI U | 0.04% | 2,581 | $341K | Add +0.3% |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | 0.04% | 1,009 | $332K | Add +11.5% |
| DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va | 0.04% | 6,646 | $322K | No change |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | 0.04% | 6,662 | $322K | Reduce -0.0% |
| NVDA Nvidia Corp. | 0.04% | 1,639 | $286K | New |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 0.03% | 900 | $265K | Add +21.1% |
| V Visa Inc. Class A | 0.03% | 861 | $260K | Add +18.4% |
| IJH iShares Core S&P Midcap ETF | 0.03% | 3,831 | $259K | Reduce -42.6% |
| SCHA Schwab US Small-Cap ETF | 0.03% | 8,840 | $257K | No change |
| IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.03% | 2,705 | $238K | New |
| AMZN Amazon.com Inc. | 0.03% | 1,096 | $228K | New |
| NIO Nio Inc. - ADR | 0.03% | 37,012 | $223K | Reduce -21.8% |
| ABBV Abbvie Inc. | 0.03% | 989 | $215K | Add +11.5% |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | 0.03% | 1,971 | $210K | No change |
| DFUS Dimensional US Eq MKT ETF | 0.03% | 2,891 | $205K | No change |
| TNGY Tortoise Energy ETF | 0.02% | 14,145 | $148K | New |
| KODK Eastman Kodak Co. | 0.01% | 11,160 | $101K | No change |
Portfolio Sells Q4 2025 → Q1 2026
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | Reduce -2.8% | 12.63% | −1.69 |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | Reduce -2.3% | 9.65% | −1.09 |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | Reduce -0.3% | 7.14% | −0.58 |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | Reduce -1.2% | 3.77% | −0.37 |
| VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.29 |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | Reduce -9.8% | 3.96% | −0.26 |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | Reduce -5.7% | 2.84% | −0.16 |
| VGIT Vanguard Intermediate-Term T | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.14 |
| IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | Reduce -29.1% | 0.20% | −0.11 |
| AVB Avalonbay Communities Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.08 |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | Reduce -7.0% | 0.46% | −0.06 |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Comm | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.04 |
| BND Vanguard Total Bond Market | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.04 |
| IRT Independence Realty Trust Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.04 |
| IDEV iShares Core MSCI Dev MKTS | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.04 |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.03 |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | Reduce -1.6% | 1.84% | −0.03 |
| VXUS Vanguard Total Intl Stock | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.03 |
| BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.03 |
| IJH iShares Core S&P Midcap ETF | Reduce -42.6% | 0.03% | −0.03 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Reduce -0.1% | 0.16% | −0.02 |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | Reduce -4.8% | 0.12% | −0.02 |
| IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E | Reduce -5.2% | 0.17% | −0.01 |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | Reduce -13.2% | 0.08% | −0.01 |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | Reduce -1.3% | 0.22% | −0.01 |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | Reduce -4.9% | 0.12% | −0.01 |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | Reduce -3.1% | 0.06% | −0.00 |
| NIO Nio Inc. - ADR | Reduce -21.8% | 0.03% | −0.00 |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | Reduce -0.0% | 0.04% | −0.00 |
Portfolio Buys Q4 2025 → Q1 2026
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | Add +89.8% | 6.19% | +2.64 |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | Add +375.8% | 1.06% | +0.82 |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | Add +23.1% | 5.27% | +0.78 |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | Add +14.6% | 5.23% | +0.45 |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | Add +40.0% | 1.36% | +0.34 |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | Add +13.9% | 3.82% | +0.30 |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | Add +12.4% | 2.89% | +0.18 |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | Add +6.2% | 4.06% | +0.05 |
| NVDA Nvidia Corp. | New | 0.04% | +0.04 |
| IAU iShares Gold Trust | New | 0.03% | +0.03 |
| AMZN Amazon.com Inc. | New | 0.03% | +0.03 |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR | Add +64.3% | 0.05% | +0.02 |
| TNGY Tortoise Energy ETF | New | 0.02% | +0.02 |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | Add +9.1% | 0.06% | +0.01 |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | Add +0.6% | 1.72% | +0.01 |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | Add +2.9% | 0.07% | +0.00 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Add +21.1% | 0.03% | +0.00 |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | Add +11.5% | 0.04% | +0.00 |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | Add +14.4% | 0.08% | +0.00 |
| ABBV Abbvie Inc. | Add +11.5% | 0.03% | +0.00 |
| V Visa Inc. Class A | Add +18.4% | 0.03% | −0.00 |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | Add +0.6% | 0.13% | −0.00 |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | Add +0.3% | 0.14% | −0.00 |
| SUSA iShares ESG Optimized MSCI U | Add +0.3% | 0.04% | −0.00 |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | Add +22.6% | 0.11% | −0.01 |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | Add +3.9% | 2.33% | −0.01 |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | Add +2.0% | 5.04% | −0.02 |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | Add +2.9% | 0.54% | −0.03 |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | Add +2.4% | 1.53% | −0.05 |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | Add +5.6% | 3.04% | −0.08 |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | Add +2.0% | 5.46% | −0.09 |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | Add +2.9% | 4.67% | −0.13 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 75 | $935.0M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, NYF |
| Q1 2026 | 67 | $781.4M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, GSIE |
| Q4 2025 | 73 | $749.9M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2025 | 65 | $729.3M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q2 2025 | 60 | $668.7M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q1 2025 | 55 | $599.6M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q4 2024 | 55 | $557.8M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2024 | 57 | $587.2M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q2 2024 | 54 | $551.5M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q1 2024 | 56 | $539.1M | GSLC, DUHP, GSIE, MTUM, DIHP |