High Probability Advisors, LLC
In its 13F for Q2 2025 (holdings as of June 30, 2025, filed July 9, 2025), High Probability Advisors, LLC reported 60 stock positions worth $668.7 million. Its top holding was Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC) at 14.5% of the portfolio, followed by iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, 11.3%) and Dimensional US High Profi Et (DUHP, 7.7%). Compared with Q1 2025, it opened 6 new positions, sold out of 1, added to 25 and reduced 12. The biggest buy was iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, shares +6%) and the biggest sale Dimensional International Hi (DIHP, shares −7%).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Pittsford, NY
- CIK
- 0002039415
- Portfolio Value
- $668.7M (Q2 2025)
- SEC Filing
- 0001667731-25-000747 ↗ filed Jul 9, 2025
Holdings Value
Holdings 60 stocks · $668.7M
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | 14.50% | 798,650 | $96.9M | Add +7.3% |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | 11.29% | 314,016 | $75.5M | Add +5.9% |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | 7.65% | 1,438,723 | $51.2M | Add +9.0% |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | 5.50% | 927,984 | $36.8M | Reduce -7.2% |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | 5.21% | 668,495 | $34.9M | Add +5.1% |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | 5.05% | 1,144,646 | $33.8M | Reduce -6.9% |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | 4.92% | 350,316 | $32.9M | Add +0.4% |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | 4.62% | 1,266,810 | $30.9M | Add +1.5% |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | 4.28% | 1,144,462 | $28.6M | Add +0.8% |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | 4.06% | 298,078 | $27.2M | Add +23.2% |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | 3.96% | 414,937 | $26.5M | Add +9.8% |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | 3.40% | 677,943 | $22.8M | Add +3.2% |
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | 3.38% | 415,201 | $22.6M | Add +5.6% |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | 3.07% | 294,508 | $20.5M | Add +4.9% |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | 2.96% | 288,626 | $19.8M | Reduce -1.6% |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | 2.68% | 414,764 | $17.9M | Add +6.0% |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | 2.27% | 160,617 | $15.2M | Add +8.2% |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | 1.79% | 364,723 | $12.0M | Reduce -10.2% |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | 1.75% | 278,583 | $11.7M | Reduce -7.8% |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | 1.53% | 148,937 | $10.2M | Add +14.5% |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | 1.34% | 337,507 | $9.0M | Add +4.7% |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | 0.59% | 53,900 | $3.9M | Reduce -1.1% |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 0.56% | 75,750 | $3.7M | Reduce -2.5% |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | 0.28% | 22,973 | $1.9M | Add +0.2% |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | 0.27% | 5,180 | $1.8M | No change |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | 0.25% | 2,728 | $1.7M | Reduce -3.4% |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | 0.23% | 19,741 | $1.5M | Reduce -14.9% |
| IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E | 0.18% | 6,116 | $1.2M | No change |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | 0.17% | 69,909 | $1.1M | Reduce -15.0% |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | 0.17% | 30,825 | $1.1M | Reduce -0.2% |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | 0.14% | 15,908 | $969K | No change |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | 0.14% | 4,504 | $924K | Add +8.3% |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | 0.14% | 16,782 | $913K | Add +2.6% |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | 0.13% | 36,325 | $866K | Add +9.9% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 0.12% | 1,648 | $820K | Add +0.2% |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.11% | 3,275 | $707K | No change |
| AVB Avalonbay Communities Inc. | 0.10% | 3,318 | $675K | No change |
| IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | 0.10% | 1,064 | $661K | New |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | 0.09% | 1,360 | $595K | No change |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | 0.08% | 4,793 | $512K | Add +0.9% |
| OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF | 0.07% | 1,610 | $490K | No change |
| DFAT Dimensional US Target Value | 0.07% | 8,672 | $468K | No change |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | 0.07% | 3,878 | $462K | Reduce -20.7% |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | 0.07% | 1,226 | $438K | No change |
| ACWI iShares MSCI Acwi ETF | 0.06% | 3,253 | $418K | No change |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | 0.06% | 3,626 | $396K | No change |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group Inc. | 0.05% | 2,750 | $349K | No change |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Comm | 0.05% | 2,318 | $343K | No change |
| SUSA iShares ESG Optimized MSCI U | 0.05% | 2,580 | $327K | Add +4.5% |
| IRT Independence Realty Trust Inc. | 0.04% | 16,645 | $294K | No change |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | 0.04% | 783 | $287K | Add +0.3% |
| DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va | 0.04% | 6,646 | $281K | No change |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | 0.04% | 6,533 | $278K | Add +7.0% |
| TSLA Tesla Inc. | 0.04% | 847 | $269K | New |
| SCHA Schwab US Small-Cap ETF | 0.03% | 8,840 | $224K | No change |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | 0.03% | 419 | $221K | New |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 0.03% | 743 | $215K | New |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | 0.03% | 1,181 | $208K | New |
| BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B | 0.03% | 427 | $207K | New |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | 0.03% | 1,950 | $207K | No change |
Portfolio Sells Q1 2025 → Q2 2025
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | Reduce -6.9% | 5.05% | −0.48 |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | Reduce -7.2% | 5.50% | −0.44 |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | Reduce -10.2% | 1.79% | −0.26 |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | Reduce -2.5% | 0.56% | −0.09 |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | Reduce -7.8% | 1.75% | −0.07 |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | Reduce -15.0% | 0.17% | −0.07 |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.04 |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | Reduce -14.9% | 0.23% | −0.04 |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | Reduce -20.7% | 0.07% | −0.03 |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | Reduce -1.1% | 0.59% | −0.01 |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | Reduce -3.4% | 0.25% | −0.01 |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | Reduce -0.2% | 0.17% | −0.00 |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | Reduce -1.6% | 2.96% | +0.01 |
Portfolio Buys Q1 2025 → Q2 2025
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | Add +5.9% | 11.29% | +1.29 |
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | Add +7.3% | 14.50% | +0.84 |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | Add +23.2% | 4.06% | +0.54 |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | Add +9.0% | 7.65% | +0.36 |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | Add +9.8% | 3.96% | +0.21 |
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | Add +5.6% | 3.38% | +0.18 |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | Add +14.5% | 1.53% | +0.15 |
| IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | New | 0.10% | +0.10 |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | Add +4.9% | 3.07% | +0.06 |
| TSLA Tesla Inc. | New | 0.04% | +0.04 |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | New | 0.03% | +0.03 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | New | 0.03% | +0.03 |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | New | 0.03% | +0.03 |
| BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B | New | 0.03% | +0.03 |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | Add +0.2% | 0.12% | +0.02 |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | Add +9.9% | 0.13% | +0.01 |
| SUSA iShares ESG Optimized MSCI U | Add +4.5% | 0.05% | +0.00 |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | Add +7.0% | 0.04% | +0.00 |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | Add +2.6% | 0.14% | −0.00 |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | Add +0.3% | 0.04% | −0.00 |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | Add +0.9% | 0.08% | −0.01 |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | Add +8.2% | 2.27% | −0.01 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Add +8.3% | 0.14% | −0.02 |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | Add +0.2% | 0.28% | −0.05 |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | Add +6.0% | 2.68% | −0.10 |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | Add +4.7% | 1.34% | −0.12 |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | Add +3.2% | 3.40% | −0.24 |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | Add +5.1% | 5.21% | −0.37 |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | Add +0.8% | 4.28% | −0.43 |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | Add +1.5% | 4.62% | −0.45 |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | Add +0.4% | 4.92% | −0.53 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 75 | $935.0M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, NYF |
| Q1 2026 | 67 | $781.4M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, GSIE |
| Q4 2025 | 73 | $749.9M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2025 | 65 | $729.3M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q2 2025 | 60 | $668.7M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q1 2025 | 55 | $599.6M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q4 2024 | 55 | $557.8M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2024 | 57 | $587.2M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q2 2024 | 54 | $551.5M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q1 2024 | 56 | $539.1M | GSLC, DUHP, GSIE, MTUM, DIHP |