High Probability Advisors, LLC
In its 13F for Q3 2024 (holdings as of September 30, 2024, filed November 12, 2024), High Probability Advisors, LLC reported 57 stock positions worth $587.2 million. Its top holding was Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC) at 14.1% of the portfolio, followed by iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, 9.6%) and Dimensional US High Profi Et (DUHP, 6.9%). Compared with Q2 2024, it opened 3 new positions, added to 17 and reduced 20. The biggest buy was a new position in Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd (DYNF) and the biggest sale iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo (IEI, shares −61%).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Pittsford, NY
- CIK
- 0002039415
- Portfolio Value
- $587.2M (Q3 2024)
- SEC Filing
- 0002039415-24-000001 ↗ filed Nov 12, 2024
Holdings Value
Holdings 57 stocks · $587.2M
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | 14.14% | 735,263 | $83.0M | Reduce -14.1% |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | 9.58% | 277,487 | $56.3M | Add +2.3% |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | 6.92% | 1,192,369 | $40.6M | Reduce -8.8% |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | 6.29% | 1,021,837 | $37.0M | Reduce -12.4% |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | 6.08% | 1,289,428 | $35.7M | Reduce -8.5% |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | 5.22% | 335,460 | $30.6M | Reduce -1.4% |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | 4.94% | 534,236 | $29.0M | Add +46.2% |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | 4.77% | 571,796 | $28.0M | Reduce -1.8% |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | 3.67% | 355,959 | $21.6M | Reduce -2.3% |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | 3.57% | 324,236 | $20.9M | Reduce -1.9% |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | 3.55% | 217,541 | $20.9M | Add +1.9% |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | 3.34% | 582,268 | $19.6M | Reduce -1.4% |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | 2.97% | 268,674 | $17.4M | Add +36.1% |
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | 2.91% | 345,917 | $17.1M | New |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | 2.72% | 315,450 | $16.0M | New |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | 2.63% | 355,666 | $15.4M | Reduce -3.6% |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | 2.26% | 139,243 | $13.3M | Reduce -1.0% |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | 2.22% | 440,600 | $13.0M | Reduce -2.8% |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | 2.07% | 318,412 | $12.1M | Add +0.6% |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | 1.91% | 93,954 | $11.2M | Reduce -60.6% |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | 1.43% | 121,103 | $8.4M | Reduce -0.4% |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | 1.26% | 254,042 | $7.4M | Add +37.5% |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 0.65% | 74,263 | $3.8M | Add +6.2% |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | 0.55% | 169,207 | $3.2M | Reduce -2.8% |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | 0.50% | 43,471 | $2.9M | Add +9.9% |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | 0.39% | 25,770 | $2.3M | Add +0.1% |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | 0.36% | 19,635 | $2.1M | Add +9.5% |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | 0.29% | 5,180 | $1.7M | No change |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | 0.28% | 2,851 | $1.6M | Reduce -3.2% |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | 0.24% | 19,605 | $1.4M | Reduce -11.5% |
| IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E | 0.20% | 6,116 | $1.2M | No change |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | 0.20% | 4,950 | $1.2M | Add +17.8% |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | 0.18% | 30,813 | $1.1M | Add +0.0% |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | 0.15% | 15,908 | $910K | No change |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.12% | 3,275 | $723K | No change |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | 0.12% | 13,192 | $721K | Add +11.6% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 0.12% | 1,639 | $705K | No change |
| AVB Avalonbay Communities Inc. | 0.09% | 2,423 | $546K | No change |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | 0.09% | 1,360 | $529K | No change |
| DFAT Dimensional US Target Value | 0.08% | 8,672 | $482K | No change |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | 0.08% | 3,850 | $450K | Reduce -2.0% |
| OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF | 0.08% | 1,610 | $446K | No change |
| VTI VG Morningstar TS MKT ETF-US | 0.07% | 1,522 | $431K | Add +10.4% |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | 0.07% | 1,226 | $406K | No change |
| ACWI iShares MSCI Acwi ETF | 0.07% | 3,253 | $389K | No change |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Comm | 0.06% | 2,318 | $368K | No change |
| IRT Independence Realty Trust Inc. | 0.06% | 16,645 | $341K | No change |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group Inc. | 0.06% | 2,750 | $323K | No change |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | 0.05% | 778 | $315K | Add +0.1% |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | 0.05% | 506 | $296K | Reduce -0.6% |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | 0.05% | 4,215 | $280K | No change |
| DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va | 0.05% | 6,646 | $277K | No change |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | 0.04% | 2,502 | $251K | Reduce -36.5% |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | 0.04% | 1,381 | $229K | Add +16.9% |
| SCHA Schwab US Small-Cap ETF | 0.04% | 4,420 | $228K | No change |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | 0.04% | 4,834 | $220K | New |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | 0.04% | 1,940 | $206K | Add +0.5% |
Portfolio Sells Q2 2024 → Q3 2024
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | Reduce -60.6% | 1.91% | −3.08 |
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | Reduce -14.1% | 14.14% | −2.45 |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | Reduce -12.4% | 6.29% | −0.82 |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | Reduce -8.8% | 6.92% | −0.67 |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | Reduce -8.5% | 6.08% | −0.64 |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | Reduce -1.8% | 4.77% | −0.31 |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | Reduce -3.6% | 2.63% | −0.19 |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | Reduce -1.4% | 3.34% | −0.15 |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | Reduce -2.3% | 3.67% | −0.13 |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | Reduce -1.9% | 3.57% | −0.10 |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | Reduce -2.8% | 2.22% | −0.04 |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | Reduce -11.5% | 0.24% | −0.03 |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | Reduce -36.5% | 0.04% | −0.03 |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | Reduce -3.2% | 0.28% | −0.01 |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | Reduce -2.0% | 0.08% | +0.00 |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | Reduce -0.6% | 0.05% | +0.00 |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | Reduce -1.0% | 2.26% | +0.02 |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | Reduce -0.4% | 1.43% | +0.03 |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | Reduce -1.4% | 5.22% | +0.03 |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | Reduce -2.8% | 0.55% | +0.04 |
Portfolio Buys Q2 2024 → Q3 2024
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | New | 2.91% | +2.91 |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | New | 2.72% | +2.72 |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | Add +46.2% | 4.94% | +1.41 |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | Add +36.1% | 2.97% | +0.77 |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | Add +37.5% | 1.26% | +0.35 |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | Add +1.9% | 3.55% | +0.08 |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | Add +0.6% | 2.07% | +0.07 |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | Add +9.9% | 0.50% | +0.04 |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | New | 0.04% | +0.04 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Add +17.8% | 0.20% | +0.04 |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | Add +0.1% | 0.39% | +0.03 |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | Add +9.5% | 0.36% | +0.02 |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | Add +11.6% | 0.12% | +0.01 |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | Add +6.2% | 0.65% | +0.01 |
| VTI VG Morningstar TS MKT ETF-US | Add +10.4% | 0.07% | +0.01 |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | Add +0.1% | 0.05% | +0.01 |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | Add +16.9% | 0.04% | 0.00 |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | Add +0.0% | 0.18% | −0.00 |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | Add +0.5% | 0.04% | −0.00 |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | Add +2.3% | 9.58% | −0.00 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 75 | $935.0M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, NYF |
| Q1 2026 | 67 | $781.4M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, GSIE |
| Q4 2025 | 73 | $749.9M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2025 | 65 | $729.3M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q2 2025 | 60 | $668.7M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q1 2025 | 55 | $599.6M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q4 2024 | 55 | $557.8M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2024 | 57 | $587.2M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q2 2024 | 54 | $551.5M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q1 2024 | 56 | $539.1M | GSLC, DUHP, GSIE, MTUM, DIHP |