High Probability Advisors, LLC
In its 13F for Q4 2024 (holdings as of December 31, 2024, filed January 17, 2025), High Probability Advisors, LLC reported 55 stock positions worth $557.8 million. Its top holding was Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC) at 15.1% of the portfolio, followed by iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, 10.7%) and Dimensional US High Profi Et (DUHP, 7.6%). Compared with Q3 2024, it sold out of 2, added to 23 and reduced 17. The biggest buy was iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, shares +3%) and the biggest sale iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo (IEI, shares −91%).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Pittsford, NY
- CIK
- 0002039415
- Portfolio Value
- $557.8M (Q4 2024)
- SEC Filing
- 0001667731-25-000061 ↗ filed Jan 17, 2025
Holdings Value
Holdings 55 stocks · $557.8M
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | 15.12% | 732,358 | $84.4M | Reduce -0.4% |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | 10.65% | 287,162 | $59.4M | Add +3.5% |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | 7.62% | 1,257,178 | $42.5M | Add +5.4% |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | 6.17% | 1,032,054 | $34.4M | Add +1.0% |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | 5.79% | 1,280,120 | $32.3M | Reduce -0.7% |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | 5.42% | 340,380 | $30.2M | Add +1.5% |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | 4.76% | 1,102,327 | $26.5M | Reduce -3.6% |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | 4.08% | 427,868 | $22.8M | Reduce -19.9% |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | 4.01% | 363,818 | $22.4M | Add +2.2% |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | 3.90% | 225,368 | $21.8M | Add +3.6% |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | 3.65% | 621,877 | $20.4M | Add +6.8% |
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | 3.45% | 375,438 | $19.2M | Add +8.5% |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | 3.39% | 321,938 | $18.9M | Reduce -0.7% |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | 3.21% | 273,237 | $17.9M | Add +1.7% |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | 2.82% | 368,833 | $15.7M | Add +3.7% |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | 2.35% | 141,389 | $13.1M | Add +1.5% |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | 2.11% | 433,961 | $11.8M | Reduce -1.5% |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | 1.94% | 317,105 | $10.8M | Reduce -0.4% |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | 1.66% | 382,232 | $9.3M | Reduce -39.4% |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | 1.54% | 123,945 | $8.6M | Add +2.4% |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | 1.34% | 285,281 | $7.5M | Add +12.3% |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | 0.60% | 48,733 | $3.4M | Add +12.1% |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 0.37% | 41,245 | $2.1M | Reduce -44.5% |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | 0.31% | 5,180 | $1.7M | No change |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | 0.30% | 2,826 | $1.7M | Reduce -0.9% |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | 0.27% | 18,808 | $1.5M | Reduce -27.0% |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | 0.26% | 22,315 | $1.5M | Add +13.8% |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | 0.25% | 88,763 | $1.4M | Reduce -47.5% |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | 0.22% | 4,902 | $1.2M | Reduce -1.0% |
| IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E | 0.20% | 6,116 | $1.1M | No change |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | 0.19% | 30,913 | $1.1M | Add +0.3% |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | 0.17% | 8,390 | $969K | Reduce -91.1% |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | 0.15% | 15,908 | $830K | No change |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | 0.14% | 14,527 | $794K | Add +10.1% |
| AVB Avalonbay Communities Inc. | 0.13% | 3,318 | $730K | Add +36.9% |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.13% | 3,275 | $724K | No change |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | 0.13% | 31,548 | $716K | Add +149.5% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 0.12% | 1,645 | $693K | Add +0.4% |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | 0.09% | 1,360 | $502K | No change |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | 0.09% | 4,724 | $492K | Reduce -75.9% |
| DFAT Dimensional US Target Value | 0.09% | 8,672 | $483K | No change |
| OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF | 0.08% | 1,610 | $465K | No change |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | 0.08% | 3,709 | $427K | Reduce -3.7% |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | 0.07% | 1,226 | $407K | No change |
| ACWI iShares MSCI Acwi ETF | 0.07% | 3,253 | $382K | No change |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Comm | 0.06% | 2,318 | $358K | No change |
| IRT Independence Realty Trust Inc. | 0.06% | 16,645 | $330K | No change |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | 0.05% | 780 | $303K | Add +0.3% |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group Inc. | 0.05% | 2,750 | $301K | No change |
| DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va | 0.05% | 6,646 | $272K | No change |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | 0.05% | 1,381 | $261K | No change |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | 0.04% | 481 | $243K | Reduce -4.9% |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | 0.04% | 5,343 | $240K | Add +10.5% |
| SCHA Schwab US Small-Cap ETF | 0.04% | 8,840 | $229K | No change |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | 0.04% | 1,950 | $206K | Add +0.5% |
Portfolio Sells Q3 2024 → Q4 2024
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | Reduce -91.1% | 0.17% | −1.74 |
| SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US | Reduce -39.4% | 1.66% | −1.05 |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | Reduce -19.9% | 4.08% | −0.86 |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | Reduce -47.5% | 0.25% | −0.29 |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | Reduce -0.7% | 5.79% | −0.29 |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | Reduce -44.5% | 0.37% | −0.28 |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | Reduce -75.9% | 0.09% | −0.27 |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | Reduce -0.7% | 3.39% | −0.17 |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | Reduce -0.4% | 1.94% | −0.13 |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | Reduce -27.0% | 0.27% | −0.12 |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | Reduce -1.5% | 2.11% | −0.11 |
| VTI VG Morningstar TS MKT ETF-US | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.07 |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.04 |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | Reduce -3.6% | 4.76% | −0.01 |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | Reduce -4.9% | 0.04% | −0.01 |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | Reduce -3.7% | 0.08% | −0.00 |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | Reduce -0.9% | 0.30% | +0.02 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Reduce -1.0% | 0.22% | +0.02 |
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | Reduce -0.4% | 15.12% | +0.98 |
Portfolio Buys Q3 2024 → Q4 2024
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | Add +3.5% | 10.65% | +1.07 |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | Add +5.4% | 7.62% | +0.70 |
| DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. | Add +8.5% | 3.45% | +0.54 |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | Add +3.6% | 3.90% | +0.35 |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | Add +2.2% | 4.01% | +0.34 |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | Add +6.8% | 3.65% | +0.31 |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | Add +1.7% | 3.21% | +0.24 |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | Add +1.5% | 5.42% | +0.20 |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | Add +3.7% | 2.82% | +0.19 |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | Add +2.4% | 1.54% | +0.11 |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | Add +12.1% | 0.60% | +0.10 |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | Add +1.5% | 2.35% | +0.08 |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | Add +12.3% | 1.34% | +0.08 |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | Add +149.5% | 0.13% | +0.08 |
| AVB Avalonbay Communities Inc. | Add +36.9% | 0.13% | +0.04 |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | Add +13.8% | 0.26% | +0.02 |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | Add +10.1% | 0.14% | +0.02 |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | Add +0.3% | 0.19% | +0.01 |
| SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap | Add +10.5% | 0.04% | +0.01 |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | Add +0.4% | 0.12% | +0.00 |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | Add +0.5% | 0.04% | +0.00 |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | Add +0.3% | 0.05% | +0.00 |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | Add +1.0% | 6.17% | −0.12 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 75 | $935.0M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, NYF |
| Q1 2026 | 67 | $781.4M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, GSIE |
| Q4 2025 | 73 | $749.9M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2025 | 65 | $729.3M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q2 2025 | 60 | $668.7M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q1 2025 | 55 | $599.6M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q4 2024 | 55 | $557.8M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2024 | 57 | $587.2M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q2 2024 | 54 | $551.5M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q1 2024 | 56 | $539.1M | GSLC, DUHP, GSIE, MTUM, DIHP |