High Probability Advisors, LLC
In its 13F for Q2 2024 (holdings as of June 30, 2024, filed November 14, 2024), High Probability Advisors, LLC reported 54 stock positions worth $551.5 million. Its top holding was Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC) at 16.6% of the portfolio, followed by iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, 9.6%) and Dimensional US High Profi Et (DUHP, 7.6%). Compared with Q1 2024, it opened 1 new position, sold out of 3, added to 25 and reduced 10. The biggest buy was iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, shares +36%) and the biggest sale Fidelity Value Factor ETF (FVAL, shares −27%).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Pittsford, NY
- CIK
- 0002039415
- Portfolio Value
- $551.5M (Q2 2024)
- SEC Filing
- 0002039415-24-000002 ↗ filed Nov 14, 2024
Holdings Value
Holdings 54 stocks · $551.5M
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | 16.59% | 855,593 | $91.5M | Reduce -0.6% |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | 9.59% | 271,275 | $52.9M | Add +35.7% |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | 7.59% | 1,307,996 | $41.8M | Reduce -0.3% |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | 7.12% | 1,166,210 | $39.2M | Add +3.1% |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | 6.72% | 1,408,834 | $37.1M | Add +2.6% |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | 5.18% | 340,361 | $28.6M | Reduce -3.5% |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | 5.08% | 582,306 | $28.0M | Add +4.8% |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | 4.99% | 238,504 | $27.5M | Add +3.9% |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | 3.81% | 364,478 | $21.0M | Reduce -26.9% |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | 3.66% | 330,603 | $20.2M | Add +1.9% |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | 3.54% | 365,365 | $19.5M | Add +4.6% |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | 3.49% | 590,862 | $19.2M | Add +5.0% |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | 3.47% | 213,484 | $19.2M | Add +3.1% |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | 2.82% | 369,106 | $15.6M | Add +3.1% |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | 2.26% | 453,446 | $12.4M | Add +1.7% |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | 2.25% | 140,629 | $12.4M | Reduce -23.9% |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | 2.19% | 197,397 | $12.1M | Add +1.5% |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | 1.99% | 316,476 | $11.0M | Add +2.4% |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | 1.40% | 121,626 | $7.7M | Add +3.2% |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | 0.91% | 184,732 | $5.0M | Add +8.8% |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 0.64% | 69,937 | $3.5M | Add +1.0% |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | 0.50% | 174,152 | $2.8M | No change |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | 0.46% | 39,536 | $2.5M | Add +6.3% |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | 0.36% | 25,739 | $2.0M | Add +0.1% |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | 0.34% | 17,930 | $1.9M | Add +65.1% |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | 0.29% | 2,944 | $1.6M | Reduce -6.5% |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | 0.29% | 5,180 | $1.6M | Reduce -2.8% |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | 0.27% | 22,160 | $1.5M | Add +5.5% |
| IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E | 0.19% | 6,116 | $1.1M | No change |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | 0.18% | 30,810 | $993K | Reduce -1.5% |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | 0.16% | 4,204 | $885K | Add +0.1% |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | 0.15% | 15,908 | $845K | No change |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 0.13% | 1,639 | $733K | No change |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.12% | 3,275 | $664K | No change |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | 0.11% | 11,820 | $606K | Add +4.8% |
| AVB Avalonbay Communities Inc. | 0.09% | 2,423 | $501K | No change |
| DFAT Dimensional US Target Value | 0.08% | 8,672 | $450K | No change |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | 0.08% | 1,360 | $447K | No change |
| OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF | 0.08% | 1,610 | $426K | No change |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | 0.08% | 3,929 | $419K | Reduce -27.1% |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | 0.07% | 3,940 | $394K | Reduce -26.5% |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | 0.07% | 1,226 | $384K | No change |
| VTI VG Morningstar TS MKT ETF-US | 0.07% | 1,379 | $369K | Add +4.0% |
| ACWI iShares MSCI Acwi ETF | 0.07% | 3,253 | $366K | No change |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Comm | 0.06% | 2,318 | $331K | No change |
| IRT Independence Realty Trust Inc. | 0.06% | 16,645 | $312K | No change |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group Inc. | 0.05% | 2,750 | $276K | No change |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | 0.05% | 777 | $267K | Add +0.3% |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | 0.05% | 4,215 | $265K | No change |
| DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va | 0.05% | 6,646 | $261K | No change |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | 0.05% | 509 | $259K | No change |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | 0.04% | 1,181 | $215K | New |
| SCHA Schwab US Small-Cap ETF | 0.04% | 4,420 | $210K | No change |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | 0.04% | 1,930 | $202K | Add +0.3% |
Portfolio Sells Q1 2024 → Q2 2024
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | Reduce -26.9% | 3.81% | −1.47 |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | Reduce -23.9% | 2.25% | −0.85 |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | Reduce -3.5% | 5.18% | −0.29 |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | Reduce -0.3% | 7.59% | −0.10 |
| BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term B | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.07 |
| AIRC Apartment Income REIT Co. | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.05 |
| MDY State Street SPDR S&P Midcap | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.05 |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | Reduce -27.1% | 0.08% | −0.03 |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | Reduce -26.5% | 0.07% | −0.03 |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | Reduce -6.5% | 0.29% | −0.01 |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | Reduce -2.8% | 0.29% | −0.01 |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | Reduce -1.5% | 0.18% | −0.01 |
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | Reduce -0.6% | 16.59% | +0.03 |
Portfolio Buys Q1 2024 → Q2 2024
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | Add +35.7% | 9.59% | +2.64 |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | Add +1.9% | 3.66% | +0.17 |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | Add +65.1% | 0.34% | +0.13 |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | Add +4.8% | 5.08% | +0.11 |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | Add +5.0% | 3.49% | +0.08 |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | Add +1.5% | 2.19% | +0.07 |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | Add +3.9% | 4.99% | +0.06 |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | Add +4.6% | 3.54% | +0.05 |
| GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A | New | 0.04% | +0.04 |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | Add +6.3% | 0.46% | +0.03 |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | Add +8.8% | 0.91% | +0.03 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Add +0.1% | 0.16% | +0.03 |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | Add +0.1% | 0.36% | +0.02 |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | Add +5.5% | 0.27% | +0.01 |
| VTI VG Morningstar TS MKT ETF-US | Add +4.0% | 0.07% | +0.00 |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | Add +0.3% | 0.04% | −0.00 |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | Add +3.1% | 2.82% | −0.00 |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | Add +4.8% | 0.11% | −0.00 |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | Add +0.3% | 0.05% | −0.01 |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | Add +1.0% | 0.64% | −0.01 |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | Add +3.2% | 1.40% | −0.04 |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | Add +2.4% | 1.99% | −0.04 |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | Add +1.7% | 2.26% | −0.08 |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | Add +3.1% | 7.12% | −0.08 |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | Add +3.1% | 3.47% | −0.13 |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | Add +2.6% | 6.72% | −0.13 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 75 | $935.0M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, NYF |
| Q1 2026 | 67 | $781.4M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, GSIE |
| Q4 2025 | 73 | $749.9M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2025 | 65 | $729.3M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q2 2025 | 60 | $668.7M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q1 2025 | 55 | $599.6M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q4 2024 | 55 | $557.8M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2024 | 57 | $587.2M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q2 2024 | 54 | $551.5M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q1 2024 | 56 | $539.1M | GSLC, DUHP, GSIE, MTUM, DIHP |