High Probability Advisors, LLC

In its 13F for Q4 2025 (holdings as of December 31, 2025, filed January 29, 2026), High Probability Advisors, LLC reported 73 stock positions worth $749.9 million. Its top holding was Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC) at 14.3% of the portfolio, followed by iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa (MTUM, 10.7%) and Dimensional US High Profi Et (DUHP, 7.7%). Compared with Q3 2025, it opened 10 new positions, sold out of 2, added to 30 and reduced 11. The biggest buy was a new position in Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (VGLT) and the biggest sale iShares New York Muni Bond E (NYF, shares −11%).

Most Recent 13F
Q2 2026
Location
Pittsford, NY
CIK
0002039415
Portfolio Value
$749.9M (Q4 2025)
SEC Filing
0002085853-26-000141 ↗ filed Jan 29, 2026

Holdings Value

0$200.0M$400.0M$600.0M$800.0M$1.0B Q1 2024: $539.1M Q1 2024 Q2 2024: $551.5M Q2 2024 Q3 2024: $587.2M Q3 2024 Q4 2024: $557.8M Q4 2024 Q1 2025: $599.6M Q1 2025 Q2 2025: $668.7M Q2 2025 Q3 2025: $729.3M Q3 2025 Q4 2025: $749.9M $749.9M Q4 2025 Q1 2026: $781.4M Q1 2026 Q2 2026: $935.0M Q2 2026

Holdings 73 stocks · $749.9M
GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF 14.31% 810,913 $107.3M Reduce -0.0%
MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa 10.74% 321,764 $80.5M Add +1.0%
DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et 7.72% 1,521,655 $57.9M Add +2.5%
GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int 5.56% 970,100 $41.7M Add +1.4%
DIHP Dimensional International Hi 5.06% 1,199,030 $38.0M Add +1.7%
USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac 4.80% 382,490 $36.0M Add +4.3%
SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas 4.77% 1,469,142 $35.8M Add +3.2%
NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E 4.49% 629,846 $33.7M Reduce -10.6%
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value 4.22% 310,636 $31.7M Add +2.0%
FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF 4.14% 429,924 $31.1M Add +0.5%
SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US 4.01% 1,198,687 $30.1M Add +0.6%
DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. 3.55% 438,248 $26.6M Add +2.4%
SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF 3.53% 782,050 $26.4M Add +4.6%
FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF 3.12% 309,369 $23.4M Add +2.0%
AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq 3.00% 291,839 $22.5M Reduce -0.4%
SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond 2.71% 474,358 $20.3M Add +4.6%
IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value 2.35% 171,585 $17.6M Add +3.0%
IVLU iShares MSCI International V 1.87% 368,371 $14.0M Reduce -0.8%
FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF 1.71% 287,982 $12.8M Add +1.6%
GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US 1.58% 156,620 $11.8M Add +2.1%
SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd 1.02% 288,285 $7.6M Reduce -20.0%
SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF 0.58% 53,760 $4.3M Add +11.3%
VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF 0.52% 77,693 $3.9M Reduce -0.6%
IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF 0.31% 3,370 $2.3M Add +215.5%
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury 0.29% 38,415 $2.1M New
IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF 0.27% 5,180 $2.0M No change
REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales 0.25% 23,069 $1.9M Add +0.3%
SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US 0.24% 2,674 $1.8M Reduce -1.8%
IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF 0.22% 19,752 $1.7M Add +11.9%
IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E 0.18% 6,564 $1.4M No change
AAPL Apple Inc. 0.18% 4,832 $1.3M Reduce -3.1%
DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 0.16% 30,828 $1.2M No change
ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF 0.14% 15,908 $1.1M No change
VGIT Vanguard Intermediate-Term T 0.14% 16,890 $1.0M New
SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF 0.13% 38,477 $1.0M Add +3.1%
SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF 0.13% 17,172 $994K Add +11.9%
BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. 0.13% 54,604 $948K Reduce -5.5%
MSFT Microsoft Corp. 0.12% 1,879 $909K Add +2.2%
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF 0.11% 3,275 $806K No change
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E 0.09% 5,731 $689K Add +61.3%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A 0.08% 1,945 $609K Add +2.6%
AVB Avalonbay Communities Inc. 0.08% 3,318 $602K No change
VEA Vanguard Ftse Developed ETF 0.08% 9,286 $580K Add +143.7%
OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF 0.07% 1,610 $552K Reduce -0.4%
TT Trane Technologies PLC 0.07% 1,360 $529K No change
DFAT Dimensional US Target Value 0.07% 8,672 $516K No change
GVI iShares Intermediate Governm 0.07% 4,797 $515K No change
GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur 0.06% 4,842 $484K Add +1.0%
IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo 0.06% 3,878 $463K No change
ACWI iShares MSCI Acwi ETF 0.06% 3,253 $460K No change
IJH iShares Core S&P Midcap ETF 0.06% 6,671 $440K New
ETN Eaton Corp. PLC 0.05% 1,226 $390K No change
HIG Hartford Insurance Group Inc. 0.05% 2,750 $379K No change
SUSA iShares ESG Optimized MSCI U 0.05% 2,574 $359K Add +0.2%
MAA Mid-America Apartment Comm 0.04% 2,318 $322K No change
SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap 0.04% 6,664 $312K Add +11.5%
HD Home Depot Inc. 0.04% 905 $311K No change
DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va 0.04% 6,646 $310K No change
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market 0.04% 4,172 $309K New
IRT Independence Realty Trust Inc. 0.04% 16,645 $291K No change
IDEV iShares Core MSCI Dev MKTS 0.04% 3,240 $267K New
V Visa Inc. Class A 0.03% 727 $255K No change
SCHA Schwab US Small-Cap ETF 0.03% 8,840 $252K No change
NIO Nio Inc. - ADR 0.03% 47,300 $241K New
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. 0.03% 743 $239K No change
SPGI S&P Global Inc. 0.03% 419 $219K No change
DFUS Dimensional US Eq MKT ETF 0.03% 2,891 $214K No change
SUB iShares Short-Term National 0.03% 1,971 $210K Add +1.1%
VXUS Vanguard Total Intl Stock 0.03% 2,698 $204K New
ABBV Abbvie Inc. 0.03% 887 $203K New
BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B 0.03% 402 $202K Reduce -5.8%
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR 0.03% 664 $202K New
KODK Eastman Kodak Co. 0.01% 11,160 $94K New

Portfolio Sells Q3 2025 → Q4 2025
NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E Reduce -10.6% 4.49% −0.66
SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd Reduce -20.0% 1.02% −0.31
GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF Reduce -0.0% 14.31% −0.17
TSLA Tesla Inc. Sold out 0.00% −0.05
NVDA Nvidia Corp. Sold out 0.00% −0.04
AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq Reduce -0.4% 3.00% −0.02
VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF Reduce -0.6% 0.52% −0.02
BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. Reduce -5.5% 0.13% −0.01
SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US Reduce -1.8% 0.24% −0.01
BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B Reduce -5.8% 0.03% −0.00
OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF Reduce -0.4% 0.07% −0.00
AAPL Apple Inc. Reduce -3.1% 0.18% +0.00
IVLU iShares MSCI International V Reduce -0.8% 1.87% +0.06

Portfolio Buys Q3 2025 → Q4 2025
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury New 0.29% +0.29
IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF Add +215.5% 0.31% +0.21
GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int Add +1.4% 5.56% +0.16
DIHP Dimensional International Hi Add +1.7% 5.06% +0.15
VGIT Vanguard Intermediate-Term T New 0.14% +0.14
FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF Add +0.5% 4.14% +0.11
DYNF Ishrs US E F R A ETF-Usd Inc. Add +2.4% 3.55% +0.08
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value Add +2.0% 4.22% +0.07
IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value Add +3.0% 2.35% +0.06
IJH iShares Core S&P Midcap ETF New 0.06% +0.06
SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF Add +11.3% 0.58% +0.06
SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF Add +4.6% 3.53% +0.05
VEA Vanguard Ftse Developed ETF Add +143.7% 0.08% +0.05
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market New 0.04% +0.04
IDEV iShares Core MSCI Dev MKTS New 0.04% +0.04
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E Add +61.3% 0.09% +0.03
NIO Nio Inc. - ADR New 0.03% +0.03
DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et Add +2.5% 7.72% +0.03
VXUS Vanguard Total Intl Stock New 0.03% +0.03
ABBV Abbvie Inc. New 0.03% +0.03
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor-SP ADR New 0.03% +0.03
IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF Add +11.9% 0.22% +0.02
USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac Add +4.3% 4.80% +0.02
SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond Add +4.6% 2.71% +0.02
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A Add +2.6% 0.08% +0.02
KODK Eastman Kodak Co. New 0.01% +0.01
SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF Add +11.9% 0.13% +0.01
SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas Add +3.2% 4.77% +0.01
FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF Add +2.0% 3.12% +0.01
GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US Add +2.1% 1.58% +0.01
SPSM SS SPDR P S&P 600 Small Cap Add +11.5% 0.04% +0.00
SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF Add +3.1% 0.13% +0.00
SUSA iShares ESG Optimized MSCI U Add +0.2% 0.05% +0.00
SUB iShares Short-Term National Add +1.1% 0.03% −0.00
GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur Add +1.0% 0.06% −0.00
MSFT Microsoft Corp. Add +2.2% 0.12% −0.01
REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales Add +0.3% 0.25% −0.01
FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF Add +1.6% 1.71% −0.02
SCHR Schwab Intermediate-Term US Add +0.6% 4.01% −0.10
MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa Add +1.0% 10.74% −0.46

All Filings

QuarterPositions13F Reported ValueTop Holdings
Q2 2026 75$935.0MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, NYF
Q1 2026 67$781.4MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, GSIE
Q4 2025 73$749.9MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP
Q3 2025 65$729.3MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF
Q2 2025 60$668.7MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF
Q1 2025 55$599.6MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF
Q4 2024 55$557.8MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP
Q3 2024 57$587.2MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP
Q2 2024 54$551.5MGSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP
Q1 2024 56$539.1MGSLC, DUHP, GSIE, MTUM, DIHP