High Probability Advisors, LLC
In its 13F for Q1 2024 (holdings as of March 31, 2024, filed November 14, 2024), High Probability Advisors, LLC reported 56 stock positions worth $539.1 million. Its top holding was Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF (GSLC) at 16.6% of the portfolio, followed by Dimensional US High Profi Et (DUHP, 7.7%) and Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int (GSIE, 7.2%). Compared with Q4 2023, it opened 6 new positions, sold out of 4, added to 27 and reduced 8. The biggest buy was a new position in Avantis US Small Cap Value (AVUV) and the biggest sale an exit from SS SPDR S&P 600 SC Val ETF (SLYV).
- Most Recent 13F
- Q2 2026
- Location
- Pittsford, NY
- CIK
- 0002039415
- Portfolio Value
- $539.1M (Q1 2024)
- SEC Filing
- 0002039415-24-000003 ↗ filed Nov 14, 2024
Holdings Value
Holdings 56 stocks · $539.1M
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | 16.57% | 860,530 | $89.3M | Add +0.2% |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | 7.69% | 1,311,277 | $41.4M | Reduce -1.7% |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | 7.20% | 1,131,565 | $38.8M | Add +3.6% |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | 6.94% | 199,855 | $37.4M | Add +1.3% |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | 6.86% | 1,372,547 | $37.0M | Add +2.4% |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | 5.47% | 352,813 | $29.5M | Add +1.2% |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | 5.28% | 498,582 | $28.4M | Add +1.5% |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | 4.97% | 555,864 | $26.8M | Add +9.5% |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | 4.93% | 229,513 | $26.6M | Add +11.0% |
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | 3.60% | 207,098 | $19.4M | New |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | 3.49% | 324,527 | $18.8M | Add +4.4% |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | 3.49% | 349,402 | $18.8M | Add +12.1% |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | 3.41% | 562,628 | $18.4M | Add +10.0% |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | 3.10% | 184,781 | $16.7M | Add +0.8% |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | 2.83% | 358,011 | $15.2M | Add +8.6% |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | 2.33% | 445,712 | $12.6M | Add +3.3% |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | 2.13% | 194,458 | $11.5M | Add +1.6% |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | 2.03% | 309,028 | $11.0M | Add +5.0% |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | 1.43% | 117,898 | $7.7M | Add +1.8% |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | 0.88% | 169,774 | $4.7M | Add +12.7% |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 0.65% | 69,220 | $3.5M | Reduce -5.3% |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | 0.51% | 174,152 | $2.7M | Reduce -2.0% |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | 0.42% | 37,193 | $2.3M | Add +3.5% |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | 0.34% | 25,710 | $1.9M | Add +0.1% |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | 0.31% | 3,148 | $1.6M | Reduce -4.0% |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | 0.30% | 5,328 | $1.6M | Reduce -8.6% |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | 0.26% | 21,004 | $1.4M | Add +3.9% |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | 0.21% | 10,860 | $1.1M | Reduce -62.2% |
| IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value E | 0.20% | 6,116 | $1.1M | No change |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | 0.19% | 31,293 | $1000K | New |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | 0.16% | 15,908 | $849K | Reduce -2.1% |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | 0.13% | 4,202 | $721K | Add +0.0% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | 0.13% | 1,639 | $690K | Reduce -4.0% |
| IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.13% | 3,275 | $689K | No change |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | 0.11% | 11,282 | $602K | Add +2.6% |
| IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap E | 0.11% | 5,388 | $595K | No change |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | 0.10% | 5,361 | $541K | Add +19.7% |
| DFAT Dimensional US Target Value | 0.09% | 8,672 | $472K | New |
| AVB Avalonbay Communities Inc. | 0.08% | 2,423 | $450K | No change |
| TT Trane Technologies PLC | 0.08% | 1,360 | $408K | No change |
| OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF | 0.07% | 1,610 | $398K | No change |
| ETN Eaton Corp. PLC | 0.07% | 1,226 | $383K | No change |
| BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term B | 0.07% | 4,828 | $364K | New |
| ACWI iShares MSCI Acwi ETF | 0.07% | 3,253 | $358K | No change |
| VTI VG Morningstar TS MKT ETF-US | 0.06% | 1,326 | $345K | Add +9.4% |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Comm | 0.06% | 2,318 | $305K | No change |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | 0.06% | 775 | $297K | Add +0.3% |
| AIRC Apartment Income REIT Co. | 0.05% | 8,899 | $289K | No change |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group Inc. | 0.05% | 2,750 | $283K | No change |
| DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va | 0.05% | 6,646 | $272K | New |
| IRT Independence Realty Trust Inc. | 0.05% | 16,645 | $268K | No change |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | 0.05% | 4,215 | $257K | New |
| UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc. | 0.05% | 509 | $252K | No change |
| MDY State Street SPDR S&P Midcap | 0.05% | 440 | $245K | No change |
| SCHA Schwab US Small-Cap ETF | 0.04% | 4,420 | $218K | No change |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | 0.04% | 1,925 | $202K | Add +0.3% |
Portfolio Sells Q4 2023 → Q1 2024
| SLYV SS SPDR S&P 600 SC Val ETF | Sold out | 0.00% | −3.77 |
| VGIT Vanguard Intermediate-Term T | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.45 |
| GVI iShares Intermediate Governm | Reduce -62.2% | 0.21% | −0.40 |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc. | Reduce -2.0% | 0.51% | −0.11 |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | Reduce -5.3% | 0.65% | −0.10 |
| FLRN SS SPDR BB Ig Float RT ETF | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.07 |
| IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value E | Sold out | 0.00% | −0.04 |
| IWV iShares Russell 3000 ETF | Reduce -8.6% | 0.30% | −0.03 |
| DUHP Dimensional US High Profi Et | Reduce -1.7% | 7.69% | −0.01 |
| ACWX iShares MSCI Acwi Ex US ETF | Reduce -2.1% | 0.16% | −0.01 |
| SPY SS SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust-US | Reduce -4.0% | 0.31% | −0.01 |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp. | Reduce -4.0% | 0.13% | −0.00 |
Portfolio Buys Q4 2023 → Q1 2024
| AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value | New | 3.60% | +3.60 |
| MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Fa | Add +1.3% | 6.94% | +0.70 |
| GSLC Goldman Activebeta US LC ETF | Add +0.2% | 16.57% | +0.31 |
| DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 | New | 0.19% | +0.19 |
| DFAT Dimensional US Target Value | New | 0.09% | +0.09 |
| NYF iShares New York Muni Bond E | Add +12.1% | 3.49% | +0.09 |
| BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term B | New | 0.07% | +0.07 |
| DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Va | New | 0.05% | +0.05 |
| SCHB Schwab US Broad Market ETF | New | 0.05% | +0.05 |
| IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bo | Add +11.0% | 4.93% | +0.04 |
| FQAL Fidelity Quality Factor ETF | Add +1.6% | 2.13% | +0.03 |
| IVLU iShares MSCI International V | Add +3.3% | 2.33% | +0.03 |
| SPIB SS SPDR P Int C Corp. ETF | Add +10.0% | 3.41% | +0.02 |
| FVAL Fidelity Value Factor ETF | Add +1.5% | 5.28% | +0.02 |
| SPYM Ste STR SPDR PT S&P 500 ETF | Add +3.5% | 0.42% | +0.02 |
| SHYG iShares 0-5 YR HY Corp. Bond | Add +8.6% | 2.83% | +0.02 |
| GBIL Goldman Sachs Access Treasur | Add +19.7% | 0.10% | +0.01 |
| SCHO Schwab Short-Term US Treas | Add +9.5% | 4.97% | +0.01 |
| VTI VG Morningstar TS MKT ETF-US | Add +9.4% | 0.06% | +0.01 |
| SPMD SS SPDR P S&P 400 Midcap ETF | Add +2.6% | 0.11% | +0.00 |
| HD Home Depot Inc. | Add +0.3% | 0.06% | +0.00 |
| IXUS iShares Core Intl Stock ETF | Add +3.9% | 0.26% | −0.00 |
| SPTL SS SPDR PF LNG TRM TSY E-Usd | Add +12.7% | 0.88% | −0.00 |
| SUB iShares Short-Term National | Add +0.3% | 0.04% | −0.00 |
| GSIE Goldman Sachs Activebeta Int | Add +3.6% | 7.20% | −0.00 |
| USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Fac | Add +1.2% | 5.47% | −0.02 |
| IUSV iShares Core S&P U.S. Value | Add +0.8% | 3.10% | −0.02 |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | Add +0.0% | 0.13% | −0.03 |
| FNDC Schwab Fndmnt Intl SM Eq ETF | Add +5.0% | 2.03% | −0.04 |
| REZ Ishars Res and Multi Reales | Add +0.1% | 0.34% | −0.04 |
| GSSC Goldman Sachs Activebeta US | Add +1.8% | 1.43% | −0.04 |
| AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Eq | Add +4.4% | 3.49% | −0.05 |
| DIHP Dimensional International Hi | Add +2.4% | 6.86% | −0.08 |
All Filings
| Quarter | Positions | 13F Reported Value | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 75 | $935.0M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, NYF |
| Q1 2026 | 67 | $781.4M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, DYNF, GSIE |
| Q4 2025 | 73 | $749.9M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2025 | 65 | $729.3M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q2 2025 | 60 | $668.7M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q1 2025 | 55 | $599.6M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, NYF |
| Q4 2024 | 55 | $557.8M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q3 2024 | 57 | $587.2M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q2 2024 | 54 | $551.5M | GSLC, MTUM, DUHP, GSIE, DIHP |
| Q1 2024 | 56 | $539.1M | GSLC, DUHP, GSIE, MTUM, DIHP |